akashic
1876–2024
State Senate District 31·Nebraska

Nebraska 31st State Senate District delivered D+10 in 2024.

One of Nebraska's most lopsided legislative districts by presidential margin

1876 — 2024·38 elections
NE
Latest
D+10
in 2024
Archetype
Bellwether
since the recent cycles
Population
19,455
2024 ACS

Nebraska 31st State Senate District, Nebraska: Bellwether district. In 2024, voted D+10%. Republican peak: R+36 in 1972.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
D+10MIT Election Lab
Political archetype
BellwetherAkashic typology
Population
19,4552024 5-year
Median household income
$80,3912024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
68.6%2024 5-year
Black
10.6%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
14.5%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+35 in 1892MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+36 in 1972MIT Election Lab
2024 results by constituent county
1 counties · 1 D · 0 R
R+60
D+60
One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.
38 presidential elections
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
D
+10.1%
4,8983,9829,062
D
+11.3%
4,9523,9249,107
D
+2.4%
3,7483,5597,918
R
−3.0%
3,5063,7297,375
D
+4.6%
3,8473,5017,466
R
−18.1%
2,7443,9796,820
R
−15.1%
2,4163,3276,032
R
−12.0%
2,3293,0415,919
R
−13.2%
2,2103,0806,591
R
−13.2%
2,5213,2915,848
R
−31.1%
1,9423,7115,686
R
−27.6%
1,7023,1925,399
R
−19.7%
2,0383,0705,227
R
−35.6%
1,5873,3454,933
R
−13.3%
1,7002,2994,517
D
+11.4%
2,5522,0294,581
R
−5.8%
2,1102,3714,481
R
−18.8%
1,6502,4134,063
R
−12.5%
1,8312,3534,184
D
+2.1%
1,6221,5543,176
D
+8.8%
2,1001,7603,860
D
+11.2%
2,2011,7563,957
D
+32.6%
2,3131,1643,526
D
+26.8%
1,9551,1183,121
R
−5.8%
1,3921,5662,977
R
−16.4%
6159682,152
R
−20.5%
6079401,626
D
+24.8%
8174791,365
D
+22.9%
425204964
D
+4.9%
5134631,011
R
−31.9%
225502868
R
−3.7%
436470923
R
−2.3%
387406813
D
+35.1%
35296730
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Demographics

Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
German
25.7%
Irish
13.2%
English
8.9%
Italian
3.9%
Polish
3.3%
American
2.8%
Scottish
1.8%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Age distribution by sex
Median age: 35.6 in this county, 39.1 nationally
Male
Age
Female
0.5%
85+
0.9%
1.7%
75–84
2.2%
4.1%
65–74
4.7%
5.5%
55–64
5.7%
5.8%
45–54
5.6%
7.2%
35–44
7.0%
7.4%
25–34
7.3%
4.6%
18–24
4.6%
9.4%
5–17
9.1%
3.5%
<5
3.3%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Median household income
2024 inflation-adjusted dollars
$80,391
State Senate District 31 ranks near the middle of US counties.
State Senate District 31$80,391
Nebraska$76,475
United States$80,734
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Poverty rate
All persons below federal poverty line
11.8%
Child poverty is below the national average.
Children under 1814.3%
Working age (18–64)11.0%
Seniors (65+)10.1%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
83.5%
speak English only
Spanish10.2%
Other Indo-European2.5%
Asian & Pacific Islander2.5%
Other languages1.3%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Catholic & Orthodox
25.0%
Other Christian
8.4%
Mainline Protestant
7.8%
Baptist
3.7%
Non-Christian
2.9%
Methodist
2.3%
Pentecostal & Holiness
1.3%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 48.6% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

With a 2024 presidential margin of R+76.2, this sparsely populated district ranks among the most one-sided in the state, reflecting the deep Republican lean typical of Nebraska's rural Sandhills and Panhandle regions.

The Democratic margin in Nebraska 31st State Senate District has rarely exceeded thirty-five points in modern history; the Republican margin has rarely exceeded thirty-six points. 2024 delivered the district to the Democratic candidate by ten points.

Its demographics resemble the country more than they resemble most districts. A 69% non-Hispanic-white share, a 12% poverty rate, and a median household income of $80,391 — all within the broad national range.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
State Senate District 31, Nebraska. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-upper/31031/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did State Senate District 31, Nebraska vote in 2024?
In 2024, State Senate District 31, Nebraska voted Democratic by 10.1 points (D+10), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 9,062 votes cast, 4,898 went Democratic and 3,982 went Republican.
What is State Senate District 31, Nebraska's political archetype?
Akashic classifies State Senate District 31, Nebraska as a "Bellwether" district based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the district has voted Democratic 14 times, Republican 20 times, and other 0 times.
When did State Senate District 31, Nebraska last vote Republican?
The most recent presidential election in which State Senate District 31, Nebraska voted Republican was 2012.
How many people live in State Senate District 31, Nebraska?
State Senate District 31, Nebraska has a population of 19,455 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in State Senate District 31, Nebraska?
Median household income in State Senate District 31, Nebraska is $80,391 — below the national median of $80,734. The Nebraska state median is $76,475.
What is the political history of State Senate District 31, Nebraska?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in State Senate District 31, Nebraska from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 14 went Democratic and 20 went Republican. The district's archetype — "Bellwether" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.