HarrisDemocratic32.4%3,477TrumpRepublican64.6%6,939OtherAll other candidates3.1%329
R+32.2- Lead
- 3,462
- Total
- 10,745
- vs nation
- R+30.7
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
Akashicstate senate district
Montana 4th State Senate District
Office (updates table and map)
President margin by year
Place winner margin
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
The precinct map shows the 2024 presidential vote; the timeline scrubs the district’s overall result across 1892–2024, on its current boundaries.
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
BidenDemocratic33.3%3,452TrumpRepublican63.2%6,541OtherAll other candidates3.5%360
R+29.8- Lead
- 3,089
- Total
- 10,353
- vs nation
- R+34.3
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ClintonDemocratic28.2%2,373TrumpRepublican62.8%5,276OtherAll other candidates9.0%755
R+34.5- Lead
- 2,903
- Total
- 8,404
- vs nation
- R+36.6
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ObamaDemocratic32.1%2,461RomneyRepublican64.3%4,921OtherAll other candidates3.6%276
R+32.1- Lead
- 2,460
- Total
- 7,658
- vs nation
- R+36.0
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ObamaDemocratic36.9%2,869McCainRepublican57.0%4,437OtherAll other candidates6.1%477
R+20.1- Lead
- 1,568
- Total
- 7,783
- vs nation
- R+27.4
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
KerryDemocratic30.5%2,050BushRepublican67.4%4,527OtherAll other candidates2.1%142
R+36.9- Lead
- 2,477
- Total
- 6,719
- vs nation
- R+34.4
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
GoreDemocratic24.4%1,457BushRepublican65.3%3,907OtherAll other candidates10.3%616
R+41.0- Lead
- 2,450
- Total
- 5,980
- vs nation
- R+41.5
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ClintonDemocratic31.8%1,855DoleRepublican49.2%2,872OtherAll other candidates19.0%1,111
R+17.4- Lead
- 1,017
- Total
- 5,838
- vs nation
- R+25.9
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+32.2MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 21,4292024 5-year
- Population density
- 1,488 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 14.4 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $61,9842024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 87.8%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.3%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 3.6%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+64.9 in 1896MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+41.0 in 1904MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State Senate District 5, MT · twin score 96.0
presidential history
Party record book
Montana 4th State Senate District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1896–2024 · 33 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
William J. Bryan1896
82.5%
249 votes · D+64.9 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1936 · 63.1%
Republican
George W. Bush2004
67.4%
4,527 votes · R+36.9 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Theodore Roosevelt, 1904 · 66.9%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Kamala Harris2024
3,477votes
32.4% of the vote · R+32.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · 3,452 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
6,939votes
64.6% of the vote · R+32.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 6,541 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
William J. Bryan1896
+71.0pts D vs U.S.
Place D+64.9 · U.S. R+6.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · William J. Bryan, 1900 · +16.1 pts
Republican
George W. Bush2000
+41.5pts R vs U.S.
Place R+41.0 · U.S. D+0.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2016 · +36.6 pts
current representation
Current officeholders
RJohn FullerState Senate · 4
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
U.S. House elections · 1 House
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | R | 33.8%4,027 | 66.2%7,875 | 11,902 |
This rural district recorded a 32.2-point Republican presidential margin in 2024, placing it among the state's most one-sided constituencies. Its small population of roughly 21,000 reflects the sparse settlement patterns typical of eastern Montana's agricultural plains.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 64.9 points in 1896 and a Republican high of 41.0 points in 1904. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 2.4 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 32.2 points.
A population of 21,429, a 88% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $61,984 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State Senate District 5 and State Senate District 3.
Political twins — state-senate districts
The state-senate districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
State Senate District 5
Montana
96.0twin score
population scale2012–2020 trajectory
State Senate District 3
Montana
95.5twin score
population scale2012–2016 trajectoryelasticity≠ median age
State Senate District 22
Montana
93.4twin score
population scale2016–2024 trajectory
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Montana 4th State Senate District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-upper/30004/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
Montana at the ballot boxAll elections →
Frequently asked questions
How did Montana 4th State Senate District vote in 2024?
In 2024, Montana 4th State Senate District voted Republican by 32.2 points (R+32.2), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 10,745 votes cast, 3,477 went Democratic and 6,939 went Republican.
When did Montana 4th State Senate District last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Montana 4th State Senate District voted Democratic was 1964.
How many people live in Montana 4th State Senate District?
Montana 4th State Senate District has a population of 21,429 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Montana 4th State Senate District?
Median household income in Montana 4th State Senate District is $61,984 — below the national median of $80,734. The Montana state median is $72,509.
What is the political history of Montana 4th State Senate District?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Montana 4th State Senate District from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 7 went Democratic and 24 went Republican.