HarrisDemocratic28.8%4,105TrumpRepublican68.5%9,748OtherAll other candidates2.7%388
R+39.6- Lead
- 5,643
- Total
- 14,241
- vs nation
- R+38.2
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
Akashicstate senate district
Montana 3rd State Senate District
Office (updates table and map)
President margin by year
Place winner margin
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
The precinct map shows the 2024 presidential vote; the timeline scrubs the district’s overall result across 1892–2024, on its current boundaries.
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
BidenDemocratic29.6%3,927TrumpRepublican67.7%8,962OtherAll other candidates2.7%357
R+38.0- Lead
- 5,035
- Total
- 13,246
- vs nation
- R+42.5
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ClintonDemocratic24.8%2,538TrumpRepublican67.0%6,840OtherAll other candidates8.2%838
R+42.1- Lead
- 4,302
- Total
- 10,216
- vs nation
- R+44.2
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ObamaDemocratic28.1%2,654RomneyRepublican67.6%6,391OtherAll other candidates4.3%403
R+39.6- Lead
- 3,737
- Total
- 9,448
- vs nation
- R+43.4
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ObamaDemocratic33.3%3,094McCainRepublican62.1%5,780OtherAll other candidates4.6%431
R+28.9- Lead
- 2,686
- Total
- 9,305
- vs nation
- R+36.1
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
KerryDemocratic26.5%2,211BushRepublican70.5%5,878OtherAll other candidates2.9%243
R+44.0- Lead
- 3,667
- Total
- 8,332
- vs nation
- R+41.6
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
GoreDemocratic21.8%1,592BushRepublican69.9%5,106OtherAll other candidates8.3%604
R+48.1- Lead
- 3,514
- Total
- 7,302
- vs nation
- R+48.6
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ClintonDemocratic29.6%2,021DoleRepublican54.9%3,748OtherAll other candidates15.4%1,052
R+25.3- Lead
- 1,727
- Total
- 6,821
- vs nation
- R+33.8
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+39.6MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 21,8362024 5-year
- Population density
- 49 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 445 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $75,1982024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 90.0%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.2%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 3.0%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+45.6 in 1896MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+48.1 in 2000MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State Senate District 6, MT · twin score 96.1
presidential history
Party record book
Montana 3rd State Senate District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1896–2024 · 33 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
William J. Bryan1896
72.8%
273 votes · D+45.6 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1936 · 60.0%
Republican
George W. Bush2004
70.5%
5,878 votes · R+44.0 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · George W. Bush, 2000 · 69.9%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Kamala Harris2024
4,105votes
28.8% of the vote · R+39.6 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · 3,927 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
9,748votes
68.5% of the vote · R+39.6 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 8,962 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
William J. Bryan1896
+51.7pts D vs U.S.
Place D+45.6 · U.S. R+6.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1936 · +3.3 pts
Republican
George W. Bush2000
+48.6pts R vs U.S.
Place R+48.1 · U.S. D+0.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2016 · +44.2 pts
current representation
Current officeholders
RCarl GlimmState Senate · 3
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
U.S. House elections · 2 House
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
With a 2024 presidential margin of just 1.7 points, this district swings closer to statewide balance than most of Montana, making it a reliable bellwether for shifts in rural and small-town voter sentiment.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 45.6 points in 1896 and a Republican high of 48.1 points in 2000. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 1.6 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 39.6 points.
A population of 21,836, a 90% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $75,198 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State Senate District 6 and State Senate District 4.
Political twins — state-senate districts
The state-senate districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
State Senate District 6
Montana
96.1twin score
2012–2024 trajectory
State Senate District 4
Montana
95.5twin score
population scale2012–2016 trajectoryelasticity≠ median age
State Senate District 5
Montana
94.9twin score
2012–2024 trajectory≠ median age
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Montana 3rd State Senate District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-upper/30003/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
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Places within Montana 3rd State Senate District
counties it covers1
Frequently asked questions
How did Montana 3rd State Senate District vote in 2024?
In 2024, Montana 3rd State Senate District voted Republican by 39.6 points (R+39.6), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 14,241 votes cast, 4,105 went Democratic and 9,748 went Republican.
When did Montana 3rd State Senate District last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Montana 3rd State Senate District voted Democratic was 1964.
How many people live in Montana 3rd State Senate District?
Montana 3rd State Senate District has a population of 21,836 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Montana 3rd State Senate District?
Median household income in Montana 3rd State Senate District is $75,198 — below the national median of $80,734. The Montana state median is $72,509.
What is the political history of Montana 3rd State Senate District?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Montana 3rd State Senate District from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 4 went Democratic and 28 went Republican.