- Lead
- 23,683
- Total
- 102,252
- vs nation
- R+21.7
Missouri 2nd State Senate District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 23,050
- Total
- 98,447
- vs nation
- R+27.9
- Lead
- 28,281
- Total
- 89,822
- vs nation
- R+33.6
- Lead
- 21,901
- Total
- 82,230
- vs nation
- R+30.5
- Lead
- 13,016
- Total
- 82,913
- vs nation
- R+23.0
- Lead
- 16,989
- Total
- 72,177
- vs nation
- R+21.1
- Lead
- 11,377
- Total
- 56,592
- vs nation
- R+20.6
- Lead
- 5,130
- Total
- 44,430
- vs nation
- R+20.1
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+23.2MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 176,2002024 5-year
- Population density
- 601 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 293 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $120,1062024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 84.2%2024 5-year
- Black
- 4.0%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 3.6%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+24.6 in 1932MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+51.0 in 1984MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State Senate District 23, MO · twin score 87.9
presidential history
Party record book
Missouri 2nd State Senate District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1932
61.6%
2,838 votes · D+24.6 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Lyndon B. Johnson, 1964 · 58.7%
Republican
Ronald Reagan1984
75.5%
22,151 votes · R+51.0 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Warren G. Harding, 1920 · 74.9%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Kamala Harris2024
38,595votes
37.7% of the vote · R+23.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · 36,887 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
62,278votes
60.9% of the vote · R+23.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 59,937 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Al Smith1928
+8.0pts D vs U.S.
Place R+9.5 · U.S. R+17.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1932 · +6.8 pts
Republican
Charles E. Hughes1916
+37.9pts R vs U.S.
Place R+34.8 · U.S. D+3.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · William H. Taft, 1912 · +37.0 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | R | 41.2%29,549 | 58.8%42,141 | 71,690 |
This rural northwest Missouri district recorded an R+23.2 presidential margin in 2024, reflecting a pattern of consolidation seen across sparsely populated agricultural regions of the Great Plains fringe.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 24.6 points in 1932 and a Republican high of 51.0 points in 1984. The 2024 margin was 23.2 points.
A population of 176,200, a 84% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $120,106 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State Senate District 23 and State Senate District 39.
The state-senate districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Missouri 2nd State Senate District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-upper/29002/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.