- Lead
- 16,194
- Total
- 73,077
- vs nation
- D+23.6
Massachusetts Second Plymouth and Norfolk District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 26,103
- Total
- 77,770
- vs nation
- D+29.1
- Lead
- 17,965
- Total
- 72,194
- vs nation
- D+22.8
- Lead
- 14,452
- Total
- 66,999
- vs nation
- D+17.7
- Lead
- 16,416
- Total
- 66,367
- vs nation
- D+17.5
- Lead
- 16,285
- Total
- 62,341
- vs nation
- D+28.6
- Lead
- 18,112
- Total
- 57,084
- vs nation
- D+31.2
- Lead
- 19,204
- Total
- 52,482
- vs nation
- D+28.1
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+22.2MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 172,7272024 5-year
- Population density
- 2,047 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 84.4 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $92,0252024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 45.7%2024 5-year
- Black
- 25.1%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 9.2%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+51.6 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+50.1 in 1896MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Third Essex District, MA · twin score 85.3
presidential history
Party record book
Massachusetts Second Plymouth and Norfolk District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
75.7%
27,170 votes · D+51.6 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · 65.8%
Republican
William McKinley1896
71.8%
2,862 votes · R+50.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Warren G. Harding, 1920 · 68.1%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
51,194votes
65.8% of the vote · D+33.6 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Kamala Harris, 2024 · 43,749 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
27,555votes
37.7% of the vote · D+22.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Mitt Romney, 2012 · 25,990 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
George McGovern1972
+36.8pts D vs U.S.
Place D+13.7 · U.S. R+23.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Al Gore, 2000 · +31.2 pts
Republican
William McKinley1896
+44.0pts R vs U.S.
Place R+50.1 · U.S. R+6.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Alf Landon, 1936 · +23.6 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | D | 73.2%60,419 | 26.8%22,080 | 82,499 |
Anchored along Massachusetts' South Shore, this district delivered a 22-point Democratic margin in 2024, reflecting a suburban-to-coastal electorate that has consistently favored the party across multiple election cycles.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 51.6 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 50.1 points in 1896. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 11.4 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 22.2 points.
A population of 172,727, a 46% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $92,025 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Third Essex District and Third Suffolk District.
The state-senate districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Massachusetts Second Plymouth and Norfolk District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-upper/25D34/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.