akashic
1876–2024
State Senate District 31·Iowa

Iowa 31st State Senate District delivered D+1 in 2024 — close enough to flip again next time.

A reliably red corridor where presidential margins routinely top 20 points

18762024·38 elections
IA
Latest
D+1
in 2024
Archetype
Tossup
since the recent cycles
Population
12,663
2024 ACS

Iowa 31st State Senate District, Iowa: Tossup district. In 2024, voted D+1%. Republican peak: R+58 in 1920.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
D+1MIT Election Lab
Political archetype
TossupAkashic typology
Population
12,6632024 5-year
Median household income
$66,4172024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
79.5%2024 5-year
Black
9.3%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
5.2%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+22 in 1964MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+58 in 1920MIT Election Lab
1 counties · 1 D · 0 R
R+60
D+60
One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
D
+1.2%
3,0242,9546,078
D
+9.0%
3,4442,8646,435
D
+7.3%
3,1152,6556,281
D
+20.2%
3,8482,5356,488
D
+22.4%
3,7862,3836,259
D
+11.5%
3,4202,7106,175
D
+12.1%
2,9102,2685,323
D
+19.4%
2,8651,8675,132
D
+13.3%
2,8592,0685,947
D
+13.4%
3,0592,3305,428
R
−1.2%
3,0413,1176,207
R
−3.4%
2,6522,8636,157
R
−2.4%
2,8512,9955,963
R
−17.1%
2,0992,9895,197
R
−9.1%
2,0392,4734,788
D
+21.7%
2,9681,9084,881
R
−8.3%
2,3272,7485,078
R
−16.1%
1,9712,7304,708
R
−24.5%
1,6772,7704,467
D
+9.8%
1,8941,5503,501
D
+2.8%
1,6031,5163,134
D
+0.5%
1,6721,6553,337
D
+9.9%
1,6231,3213,061
R
−0.3%
1,4171,4252,876
R
−39.1%
8181,8752,705
R
−53.0%
2881,5282,340
R
−58.4%
3871,6352,136
R
−21.7%
4136511,098
O
+19.7%
3581551,029
R
−25.3%
302525880
R
−43.1%
180506756
R
−32.0%
243484752
R
−35.3%
209449679
R
−15.4%
246337590
No data
No data
No data
No data

Demographics

Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
German
30.2%
Irish
11.3%
English
8.5%
American
4.7%
Italian
1.6%
French
1.6%
Scottish
1.2%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
91.2%
speak English only
Spanish3.3%
Other Indo-European2.9%
Asian & Pacific Islander2.1%
Other languages0.4%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Catholic & Orthodox
14.9%
Mainline Protestant
13.5%
Baptist
7.0%
Other Christian
5.7%
Methodist
3.2%
Pentecostal & Holiness
2.5%
Non-Christian
2.2%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 51.0% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Iowa Senate District 31 leans heavily Republican in statewide contests, with its largely rural and small-town electorate delivering some of the state's more consistent margins. Demographic shifts here have trended toward consolidating that alignment over the past decade.

The district's recent history is a story of close margins. The Democratic margin reached twenty-two points in 2008; the Republican margin reached fifty-eight points in 1920. Most other elections have been decided by single-digit points.

Its demographics — a population of 12,663, a 80% non-Hispanic-white share, a median household income of $66,417 — situate the district close to national averages on several dimensions.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
State Senate District 31, Iowa. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-upper/19031/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did State Senate District 31, Iowa vote in 2024?
In 2024, State Senate District 31, Iowa voted Democratic by 1.2 points (D+1), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 6,078 votes cast, 3,024 went Democratic and 2,954 went Republican.
What is State Senate District 31, Iowa's political archetype?
Akashic classifies State Senate District 31, Iowa as a "Tossup" district based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the district has voted Democratic 15 times, Republican 18 times, and other 1 times.
When did State Senate District 31, Iowa last vote Republican?
The most recent presidential election in which State Senate District 31, Iowa voted Republican was 1984.
How many people live in State Senate District 31, Iowa?
State Senate District 31, Iowa has a population of 12,663 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in State Senate District 31, Iowa?
Median household income in State Senate District 31, Iowa is $66,417 — below the national median of $80,734. The Iowa state median is $75,059.
What is the political history of State Senate District 31, Iowa?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in State Senate District 31, Iowa from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 15 went Democratic and 18 went Republican. The district's archetype — "Tossup" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.