- Lead
- 9,869
- Total
- 45,234
- vs nation
- R+20.3
Arkansas 34th State Senate District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 9,579
- Total
- 42,200
- vs nation
- R+27.2
- Lead
- 10,437
- Total
- 32,471
- vs nation
- R+34.2
- Lead
- 10,205
- Total
- 27,876
- vs nation
- R+40.5
- Lead
- 8,788
- Total
- 26,658
- vs nation
- R+40.2
- Lead
- 8,336
- Total
- 23,887
- vs nation
- R+32.4
- Lead
- 5,433
- Total
- 18,936
- vs nation
- R+29.2
- Lead
- 1,655
- Total
- 16,262
- vs nation
- R+18.7
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+21.8MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 83,5692024 5-year
- Population density
- 676 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 124 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $105,2462024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 77.5%2024 5-year
- Black
- 2.1%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 8.7%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+69.0 in 1896MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+52.4 in 1972MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State Senate District 15, OK · twin score 95.3
presidential history
Party record book
Arkansas 34th State Senate District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
William J. Bryan1896
83.9%
1,390 votes · D+69.0 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Samuel J. Tilden, 1876 · 83.6%
Republican
Richard Nixon1972
76.0%
4,993 votes · R+52.4 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Ronald Reagan, 1984 · 74.3%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Kamala Harris2024
17,029votes
37.6% of the vote · R+21.8 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · 15,692 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
26,898votes
59.5% of the vote · R+21.8 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 25,271 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
William J. Bryan1896
+75.1pts D vs U.S.
Place D+69.0 · U.S. R+6.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · William J. Bryan, 1900 · +56.8 pts
Republican
Mitt Romney2012
+40.5pts R vs U.S.
Place R+36.6 · U.S. D+3.9 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · John McCain, 2008 · +40.2 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | R | 31.4%10,413 | 68.6%22,742 | 33,155 |
| 2020 | R | 32.8%10,319 | 67.2%21,165 | 31,484 |
The district recorded a Republican presidential margin of R+21.8 in 2024, compared with R+33.0 in 2008. About 43,100 residents lived here, with White alone at 60.4% in the 2024 ACS 5-year.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 69.0 points in 1896 and a Republican high of 52.4 points in 1972. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 0.9 points toward the Democratic candidate; the 2024 margin was 21.8 points.
A population of 83,569, a 78% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $105,246 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State Senate District 15 and State Senate District 15.
The state-senate districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Arkansas 34th State Senate District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-upper/05034/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.