- Lead
- 9,003
- Total
- 39,508
- vs nation
- R+21.3
Arkansas 33rd State Senate District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 7,986
- Total
- 35,599
- vs nation
- R+26.9
- Lead
- 8,719
- Total
- 27,409
- vs nation
- R+33.9
- Lead
- 8,656
- Total
- 23,249
- vs nation
- R+41.1
- Lead
- 7,468
- Total
- 22,413
- vs nation
- R+40.6
- Lead
- 6,859
- Total
- 20,026
- vs nation
- R+31.8
- Lead
- 4,601
- Total
- 15,866
- vs nation
- R+29.5
- Lead
- 1,412
- Total
- 13,580
- vs nation
- R+18.9
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+22.8MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 84,8812024 5-year
- Population density
- 460 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 185 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $102,6412024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 65.6%2024 5-year
- Black
- 2.1%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 15.4%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+73.4 in 1876MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+51.7 in 1972MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State Senate District 24, OK · twin score 95.5
presidential history
Party record book
Arkansas 33rd State Senate District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Samuel J. Tilden1876
86.6%
648 votes · D+73.4 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · William J. Bryan, 1896 · 85.1%
Republican
Richard Nixon1972
75.7%
4,198 votes · R+51.7 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Ronald Reagan, 1984 · 74.6%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Kamala Harris2024
14,760votes
37.4% of the vote · R+22.8 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · 13,262 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
23,763votes
60.1% of the vote · R+22.8 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 21,248 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
William J. Bryan1896
+76.8pts D vs U.S.
Place D+70.7 · U.S. R+6.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · William J. Bryan, 1900 · +56.4 pts
Republican
Mitt Romney2012
+41.1pts R vs U.S.
Place R+37.2 · U.S. D+3.9 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · John McCain, 2008 · +40.6 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | R | 31.4%10,577 | 68.6%23,099 | 33,676 |
| 2020 | R | 32.8%10,481 | 67.2%21,497 | 31,978 |
Arkansas 33rd State Senate District sits in the Mid-South. In 2024 it voted Republican.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 73.4 points in 1876 and a Republican high of 51.7 points in 1972. The 2024 margin was 22.8 points.
A population of 84,881, a 66% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $102,641 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State Senate District 24 and State Senate District 34.
The state-senate districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Arkansas 33rd State Senate District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-upper/05033/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.