HarrisDemocratic23.3%7,175TrumpRepublican75.3%23,216OtherAll other candidates1.4%432
R+52.0- Lead
- 16,041
- Total
- 30,823
- vs nation
- R+50.6
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
Akashicstate senate district
Arkansas 4th State Senate District
Office (updates table and map)
President margin by year
Place winner margin
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
The precinct map shows the 2024 presidential vote; the timeline scrubs the district’s overall result across 1892–2024, on its current boundaries.
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
BidenDemocratic25.3%8,285TrumpRepublican71.8%23,519OtherAll other candidates2.9%962
R+46.5- Lead
- 15,234
- Total
- 32,766
- vs nation
- R+50.9
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ClintonDemocratic27.4%8,476TrumpRepublican71.0%21,945OtherAll other candidates1.6%492
R+43.6- Lead
- 13,469
- Total
- 30,913
- vs nation
- R+45.7
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ObamaDemocratic29.7%8,979RomneyRepublican68.3%20,633OtherAll other candidates1.9%588
R+38.6- Lead
- 11,654
- Total
- 30,200
- vs nation
- R+42.4
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ObamaDemocratic32.9%10,130McCainRepublican64.5%19,838OtherAll other candidates2.5%777
R+31.6- Lead
- 9,708
- Total
- 30,745
- vs nation
- R+38.8
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
KerryDemocratic44.5%13,650BushRepublican54.7%16,781OtherAll other candidates0.7%227
R+10.2- Lead
- 3,131
- Total
- 30,658
- vs nation
- R+7.8
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
GoreDemocratic48.3%13,956BushRepublican50.0%14,444OtherAll other candidates1.6%466
R+1.7- Lead
- 488
- Total
- 28,866
- vs nation
- R+2.2
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ClintonDemocratic56.5%15,742DoleRepublican33.9%9,450OtherAll other candidates9.6%2,665
D+22.6- Lead
- 6,292
- Total
- 27,857
- vs nation
- D+14.1
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+52.0MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 85,7712024 5-year
- Population density
- 34 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 2,537 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $49,0562024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 63.1%2024 5-year
- Black
- 19.8%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 10.7%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+83.7 in 1932MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+52.0 in 2024MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State Senate District 18, MS · twin score 95.1
presidential history
Party record book
Arkansas 4th State Senate District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1932
91.5%
9,454 votes · D+83.7 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1936 · 85.7%
Republican
Donald Trump2024
75.3%
23,216 votes · R+52.0 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Richard Nixon, 1972 · 72.3%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Jimmy Carter1976
17,252votes
64.3% of the vote · D+28.7 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Bill Clinton, 1992 · 16,571 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2020
23,519votes
71.8% of the vote · R+46.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2024 · 23,216 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
John W. Davis1924
+68.0pts D vs U.S.
Place D+42.8 · U.S. R+25.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1932 · +65.9 pts
Republican
Donald Trump2020
+50.9pts R vs U.S.
Place R+46.5 · U.S. D+4.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2024 · +50.6 pts
current representation
Current officeholders
RJimmy HickeyState Senate · 4
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
U.S. House elections · 2 House
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | R | 21.7%6,450 | 78.3%23,243 | 29,693 |
| 2020 | R | 25.1%7,890 | 74.9%23,600 | 31,490 |
Arkansas 4th State Senate District sits in the Mid-South. In 2024 it voted Republican.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 83.7 points in 1932 and a Republican high of 52.0 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 5.5 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 52.0 points.
A population of 85,771, a 63% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $49,056 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State Senate District 18 and State Senate District 31.
Political twins — state-senate districts
The state-senate districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
State Senate District 18
Mississippi
95.1twin score
2008–2024 trajectory% Evangelical≠ American ancestry
State Senate District 31
Alabama
95.0twin score
2012–2024 trajectory% Evangelical≠ American ancestry
State Senate District 4
Mississippi
95.0twin score
2008–2024 trajectory≠ % Evangelical
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Arkansas 4th State Senate District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-upper/05004/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
Arkansas at the ballot boxAll elections →
Places within Arkansas 4th State Senate District
counties it covers5
Frequently asked questions
How did Arkansas 4th State Senate District vote in 2024?
In 2024, Arkansas 4th State Senate District voted Republican by 52.0 points (R+52.0), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 30,823 votes cast, 7,175 went Democratic and 23,216 went Republican.
When did Arkansas 4th State Senate District last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Arkansas 4th State Senate District voted Democratic was 1996.
How many people live in Arkansas 4th State Senate District?
Arkansas 4th State Senate District has a population of 85,771 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Arkansas 4th State Senate District?
Median household income in Arkansas 4th State Senate District is $49,056 — below the national median of $80,734. The Arkansas state median is $60,773.
What is the political history of Arkansas 4th State Senate District?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Arkansas 4th State Senate District from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 27 went Democratic and 10 went Republican.