akashic
1876–2024
Assembly District 86·Wisconsin

Wisconsin 86th State House District delivered R+17 in 2024 — close enough to flip again next time.

A reliably Republican district anchored in rural west-central Wisconsin

1876 — 2024·38 elections
WI
Latest
R+17
in 2024
Archetype
Tossup
since the recent cycles
Population
90,852
2024 ACS

Wisconsin 86th State House District, Wisconsin: Tossup district. In 2024, voted R+17%. Republican peak: R+54 in 1920.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
R+17MIT Election Lab
Political archetype
TossupAkashic typology
Population
90,8522024 5-year
Median household income
$73,2072024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
89.2%2024 5-year
Black
0.7%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
3.7%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+42 in 1932MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+54 in 1920MIT Election Lab
2024 results by constituent county
3 counties · 1 D · 2 R
R+60
D+60
One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.
38 presidential elections
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
R
−16.9%
21,29730,12652,186
R
−16.3%
20,81029,05150,710
R
−16.1%
18,11025,59546,411
R
−2.3%
22,71823,81147,215
D
+13.1%
25,99219,87946,758
R
−3.7%
22,47224,23147,295
R
−2.6%
18,99820,05441,386
D
+8.5%
17,27014,10537,046
D
+1.1%
15,69115,24741,468
D
+1.0%
18,30517,92836,491
R
−18.1%
14,53521,10236,215
R
−5.8%
16,66418,90638,842
D
+3.9%
17,58016,23734,683
R
−8.9%
13,00315,71030,294
D
+1.4%
12,66612,28726,929
D
+31.6%
17,2888,97726,298
R
−9.7%
12,51615,21227,748
R
−28.3%
8,94716,05325,099
R
−25.5%
9,08015,32124,517
D
+8.4%
10,1608,55319,037
R
−9.2%
8,82010,61819,638
R
−2.0%
10,12910,55220,930
D
+36.2%
12,1745,38818,731
D
+42.4%
11,5124,54516,440
D
+0.7%
7,4437,33414,962
O
−22.8%
9033,93213,288
R
−54.3%
1,5677,85511,571
R
−10.6%
2,9353,6746,996
D
+12.3%
2,8872,1106,336
R
−8.0%
3,0773,6447,087
R
−33.7%
2,1604,4996,944
R
−17.2%
2,4953,5586,189
R
−11.2%
2,5483,2095,886
D
+17.3%
2,6831,8714,692
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Demographics

Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
German
44.9%
Polish
14.0%
Irish
8.8%
English
6.7%
American
4.3%
French
2.7%
Italian
2.5%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Age distribution by sex
Median age: 42.1 in this county, 39.1 nationally
Male
Age
Female
1.0%
85+
1.7%
2.7%
75–84
3.1%
5.8%
65–74
6.0%
7.4%
55–64
7.2%
6.0%
45–54
5.7%
6.2%
35–44
6.0%
6.0%
25–34
5.7%
4.1%
18–24
3.9%
8.4%
5–17
7.9%
2.7%
<5
2.6%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Median household income
2024 inflation-adjusted dollars
$73,207
Assembly District 86 ranks near the middle of US counties.
Assembly District 86$73,207
Wisconsin$77,485
United States$80,734
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Poverty rate
All persons below federal poverty line
9.8%
Child poverty is below the national average.
Children under 1811.2%
Working age (18–64)9.4%
Seniors (65+)9.8%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
94.4%
speak English only
Asian & Pacific Islander2.4%
Spanish1.7%
Other Indo-European1.4%
Other languages0.1%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Catholic & Orthodox
22.7%
Mainline Protestant
18.4%
Other Christian
5.1%
Pentecostal & Holiness
1.5%
Non-Christian
0.9%
Methodist
0.8%
Baptist
0.1%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 50.4% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Assembly District 86 gave the 2024 Republican presidential nominee a margin of nearly 22 points, reflecting the region's predominantly rural, small-town character and the durable conservative lean that has defined west-central Wisconsin legislative politics for years.

The district's recent history is a story of close margins. The Democratic margin reached forty-two points in 1932; the Republican margin reached fifty-four points in 1920. Most other elections have been decided by single-digit points.

Its demographics — a population of 90,852, a 89% non-Hispanic-white share, a median household income of $73,207 — situate the district close to national averages on several dimensions.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Assembly District 86, Wisconsin. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/55086/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did Assembly District 86, Wisconsin vote in 2024?
In 2024, Assembly District 86, Wisconsin voted Republican by 16.9 points (R+17), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 52,186 votes cast, 21,297 went Democratic and 30,126 went Republican.
What is Assembly District 86, Wisconsin's political archetype?
Akashic classifies Assembly District 86, Wisconsin as a "Tossup" district based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the district has voted Democratic 13 times, Republican 20 times, and other 1 times.
When did Assembly District 86, Wisconsin last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Assembly District 86, Wisconsin voted Democratic was 2008.
How many people live in Assembly District 86, Wisconsin?
Assembly District 86, Wisconsin has a population of 90,852 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Assembly District 86, Wisconsin?
Median household income in Assembly District 86, Wisconsin is $73,207 — below the national median of $80,734. The Wisconsin state median is $77,485.
What is the political history of Assembly District 86, Wisconsin?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Assembly District 86, Wisconsin from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 13 went Democratic and 20 went Republican. The district's archetype — "Tossup" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.