HarrisDemocratic35.4%12,654TrumpRepublican63.2%22,585OtherAll other candidates1.4%498
R+27.8- Lead
- 9,931
- Total
- 35,737
- vs nation
- R+26.3
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
Akashicstate house district
Wisconsin 86th State House District
Office (updates table and map)
President margin by year
Place winner margin
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
The precinct map shows the 2024 presidential vote; the timeline scrubs the district’s overall result across 1892–2024, on its current boundaries.
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
BidenDemocratic36.0%12,498TrumpRepublican62.6%21,760OtherAll other candidates1.4%490
R+26.7- Lead
- 9,262
- Total
- 34,748
- vs nation
- R+31.1
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ClintonDemocratic34.5%10,933TrumpRepublican60.0%19,026OtherAll other candidates5.6%1,761
R+25.5- Lead
- 8,093
- Total
- 31,720
- vs nation
- R+27.6
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ObamaDemocratic43.3%13,879RomneyRepublican55.0%17,607OtherAll other candidates1.7%548
R+11.6- Lead
- 3,728
- Total
- 32,034
- vs nation
- R+15.5
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ObamaDemocratic50.8%16,010McCainRepublican47.0%14,810OtherAll other candidates2.2%683
D+3.8- Lead
- 1,200
- Total
- 31,503
- vs nation
- R+3.5
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
KerryDemocratic42.7%13,799BushRepublican55.8%18,029OtherAll other candidates1.4%462
R+13.1- Lead
- 4,230
- Total
- 32,290
- vs nation
- R+10.6
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
GoreDemocratic41.4%11,744BushRepublican53.1%15,073OtherAll other candidates5.5%1,549
R+11.7- Lead
- 3,329
- Total
- 28,366
- vs nation
- R+12.3
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ClintonDemocratic42.1%10,765DoleRepublican41.4%10,591OtherAll other candidates16.4%4,198
D+0.7- Lead
- 174
- Total
- 25,554
- vs nation
- R+7.8
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+27.8MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 59,4622024 5-year
- Population density
- 60 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 997 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $74,5582024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 93.1%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.5%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 2.5%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+35.0 in 1932MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+61.7 in 1920MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Assembly District 87, WI · twin score 97.0
presidential history
Party record book
Wisconsin 86th State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1932
66.6%
7,102 votes · D+35.0 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Lyndon B. Johnson, 1964 · 61.7%
Republican
Warren G. Harding1920
71.6%
5,873 votes · R+61.7 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Dwight D. Eisenhower, 1956 · 69.0%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Barack Obama2008
16,010votes
50.8% of the vote · D+3.8 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2012 · 13,879 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
22,585votes
63.2% of the vote · R+27.8 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 21,760 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1932
+17.3pts D vs U.S.
Place D+35.0 · U.S. D+17.8 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Al Smith, 1928 · +8.9 pts
Republican
Warren G. Harding1920
+35.5pts R vs U.S.
Place R+61.7 · U.S. R+26.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · +31.1 pts
current representation
Current officeholders
RJohn SpirosState House · 86
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
U.S. House elections · 3 House
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Assembly District 86 gave the 2024 Republican presidential nominee a margin of nearly 22 points, reflecting the region's predominantly rural, small-town character and the durable conservative lean that has defined west-central Wisconsin legislative politics for years.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 35.0 points in 1932 and a Republican high of 61.7 points in 1920. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 1.1 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 27.8 points.
A population of 59,462, a 93% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $74,558 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Assembly District 87 and Assembly District 4.
Political twins — state-house districts
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Assembly District 87
Wisconsin
97.0twin score
Polish ancestry12-yr trend2020–2024 trajectory
Assembly District 4
Wisconsin
95.7twin score
elasticity12-yr trend2020–2024 trajectory≠ Polish ancestry
Assembly District 35
Wisconsin
94.2twin score
elasticity2020–2024 trajectoryGerman ancestry
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Wisconsin 86th State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/55086/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
Wisconsin at the ballot boxAll elections →
Places within Wisconsin 86th State House District
counties it covers3
Frequently asked questions
How did Wisconsin 86th State House District vote in 2024?
In 2024, Wisconsin 86th State House District voted Republican by 27.8 points (R+27.8), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 35,737 votes cast, 12,654 went Democratic and 22,585 went Republican.
When did Wisconsin 86th State House District last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Wisconsin 86th State House District voted Democratic was 2008.
How many people live in Wisconsin 86th State House District?
Wisconsin 86th State House District has a population of 59,462 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Wisconsin 86th State House District?
Median household income in Wisconsin 86th State House District is $74,558 — below the national median of $80,734. The Wisconsin state median is $77,485.
What is the political history of Wisconsin 86th State House District?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Wisconsin 86th State House District from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 8 went Democratic and 29 went Republican.