- Lead
- 5,512
- Total
- 32,123
- vs nation
- R+15.7
Wisconsin 49th State House District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 3,471
- Total
- 30,162
- vs nation
- R+16.0
- Lead
- 2,490
- Total
- 28,509
- vs nation
- R+10.8
- Lead
- 4,311
- Total
- 28,382
- vs nation
- D+11.3
- Lead
- 6,983
- Total
- 28,576
- vs nation
- D+17.2
- Lead
- 1,405
- Total
- 29,938
- vs nation
- D+7.2
- Lead
- 1,306
- Total
- 26,072
- vs nation
- D+4.5
- Lead
- 3,292
- Total
- 23,404
- vs nation
- D+5.5
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+17.2MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 59,5842024 5-year
- Population density
- 39 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 1,510 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $66,1042024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 92.9%2024 5-year
- Black
- 1.4%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 2.2%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+29.1 in 1932MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+61.1 in 1920MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State House District 64, IA · twin score 92.3
presidential history
Party record book
Wisconsin 49th State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1932
63.8%
12,939 votes · D+29.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2008 · 61.4%
Republican
Warren G. Harding1920
79.2%
11,848 votes · R+61.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Dwight D. Eisenhower, 1952 · 75.2%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Barack Obama2008
17,541votes
61.4% of the vote · D+24.4 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2012 · 16,121 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
18,583votes
57.8% of the vote · R+17.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Dwight D. Eisenhower, 1952 · 17,584 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Barack Obama2008
+17.2pts D vs U.S.
Place D+24.4 · U.S. D+7.3 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2012 · +11.3 pts
Republican
Dwight D. Eisenhower1952
+39.9pts R vs U.S.
Place R+50.6 · U.S. R+10.8 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Warren G. Harding, 1920 · +34.9 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Assembly District 49 sits within the Milwaukee metro and recorded a 7.6-point Democratic margin in 2024, placing it in competitive-to-lean territory that both parties have treated as a meaningful bellwether in state legislative races.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 29.1 points in 1932 and a Republican high of 61.1 points in 1920. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 5.7 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 17.2 points.
A population of 59,584, a 93% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $66,104 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State House District 64 and State House District 67.
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Wisconsin 49th State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/55049/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.