- Lead
- 10,501
- Total
- 34,480
- vs nation
- R+29.0
Wisconsin 38th State House District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 9,542
- Total
- 33,301
- vs nation
- R+33.1
- Lead
- 8,444
- Total
- 29,476
- vs nation
- R+30.7
- Lead
- 5,350
- Total
- 30,092
- vs nation
- R+21.6
- Lead
- 3,152
- Total
- 28,956
- vs nation
- R+18.2
- Lead
- 7,533
- Total
- 29,365
- vs nation
- R+23.2
- Lead
- 5,427
- Total
- 24,985
- vs nation
- R+22.2
- Lead
- 1,137
- Total
- 19,825
- vs nation
- R+14.3
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+30.5MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 59,2472024 5-year
- Population density
- 133 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 445 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $76,5652024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 87.1%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.9%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 7.7%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+39.6 in 1932MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+67.4 in 1920MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Assembly District 37, WI · twin score 95.5
presidential history
Party record book
Wisconsin 38th State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1932
69.3%
8,365 votes · D+39.6 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Grover Cleveland, 1892 · 62.6%
Republican
Warren G. Harding1920
81.9%
7,253 votes · R+67.4 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Dwight D. Eisenhower, 1952 · 73.3%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Barack Obama2008
12,692votes
43.8% of the vote · R+10.9 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2012 · 12,167 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
22,192votes
64.4% of the vote · R+30.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 21,110 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Grover Cleveland1892
+26.3pts D vs U.S.
Place D+28.0 · U.S. D+1.7 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1932 · +21.8 pts
Republican
Warren G. Harding1920
+41.3pts R vs U.S.
Place R+67.4 · U.S. R+26.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Thomas E. Dewey, 1944 · +39.0 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Assembly District 38 has tilted Republican by double digits in recent presidential cycles, reflecting the rural and small-town demographics typical of this part of Wisconsin's legislative landscape.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 39.6 points in 1932 and a Republican high of 67.4 points in 1920. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 1.8 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 30.5 points.
A population of 59,247, a 87% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $76,565 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Assembly District 37 and Assembly District 39.
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Wisconsin 38th State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/55038/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.