- Lead
- 21,525
- Total
- 31,098
- vs nation
- D+70.7
Wisconsin 10th State House District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 22,536
- Total
- 31,884
- vs nation
- D+66.2
- Lead
- 21,754
- Total
- 31,639
- vs nation
- D+66.7
- Lead
- 24,759
- Total
- 35,318
- vs nation
- D+66.2
- Lead
- 23,794
- Total
- 34,135
- vs nation
- D+62.4
- Lead
- 20,817
- Total
- 32,999
- vs nation
- D+65.5
- Lead
- 17,267
- Total
- 29,154
- vs nation
- D+58.7
- Lead
- 15,486
- Total
- 25,439
- vs nation
- D+52.4
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+69.2MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 59,5032024 5-year
- Population density
- 4,959 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 12 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $53,2242024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 39.1%2024 5-year
- Black
- 47.6%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 5.9%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+79.3 in 1936MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+4.7 in 1924MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Assembly District 18, WI · twin score 99.3
presidential history
Party record book
Wisconsin 10th State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1936
87.1%
19,945 votes · D+79.3 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2012 · 84.7%
Republican
Warren G. Harding1920
35.3%
2,527 votes · R+3.6 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Dwight D. Eisenhower, 1956 · 32.3%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Barack Obama2012
29,920votes
84.7% of the vote · D+70.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2008 · 28,794 votes
Republican
Dwight D. Eisenhower1956
7,680votes
32.3% of the vote · D+34.8 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Dwight D. Eisenhower, 1952 · 7,386 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Walter Mondale1984
+73.5pts D vs U.S.
Place D+55.3 · U.S. R+18.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · George McGovern, 1972 · +71.2 pts
Republican
Calvin Coolidge1924
−20.5pts R vs U.S.
Place R+4.7 · U.S. R+25.2 · a third-party candidate carried the Place · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Warren G. Harding, 1920 · −22.6 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | D | 69.4%19,499 | 30.6%8,611 | 28,110 |
Assembly District 10 sits in Milwaukee's urban core and delivered one of the most lopsided presidential margins in Wisconsin in 2024, reflecting a densely populated electorate where Democratic candidates routinely run unopposed or near-unopposed.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 79.3 points in 1936 and a Republican high of 4.7 points in 1924. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 1.5 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 69.2 points.
A population of 59,503, a 39% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $53,224 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Assembly District 18 and Assembly District 17.
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Wisconsin 10th State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/55010/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.