Virginia 99th State House District, Virginia: Bellwether district. In 2024, voted D+3%. Democratic peak: D+76 in 1916.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+3MIT Election Lab
- Political archetype
- BellwetherAkashic typology
- Population
- 59,8102024 5-year
- Median household income
- $92,9682024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 60.8%2024 5-year
- Black
- 18.8%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 9.1%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+76 in 1916MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+56 in 1972MIT Election Lab
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D | 15,126 | 14,335 | 29,983 | ||
| D | 15,386 | 13,773 | 29,824 | ||
| R | 11,931 | 12,873 | 26,608 | ||
| R | 12,359 | 13,013 | 25,772 | ||
| R | 12,960 | 13,148 | 26,376 | ||
| R | 9,262 | 13,598 | 23,026 | ||
| R | 8,161 | 10,966 | 19,629 | ||
| R | 6,834 | 8,354 | 16,506 | ||
| R | 5,805 | 9,035 | 18,058 | ||
| R | 4,427 | 10,024 | 14,550 | ||
| R | 3,238 | 9,511 | 12,791 | ||
| R | 3,263 | 6,283 | 10,385 | ||
| R | 3,385 | 4,534 | 8,325 | ||
| R | 1,359 | 4,990 | 6,518 | ||
| R | 1,324 | 2,138 | 4,947 | ||
| D | 1,690 | 1,380 | 3,072 | ||
| D | 951 | 764 | 1,725 | ||
| R | 715 | 790 | 1,546 | ||
| R | 513 | 588 | 1,104 | ||
| D | 263 | 174 | 487 | ||
| D | 257 | 130 | 387 | ||
| D | 221 | 58 | 280 | ||
| D | 252 | 57 | 310 | ||
| D | 190 | 57 | 249 | ||
| R | 110 | 136 | 247 | ||
| D | 90 | 18 | 112 | ||
| D | 80 | 14 | 94 | ||
| D | 67 | 9 | 76 | ||
| D | 55 | 5 | 69 | ||
| D | 53 | 13 | 66 | ||
| D | 55 | 14 | 70 | ||
| D | 97 | 43 | 140 | ||
| D | 104 | 90 | 195 | ||
| D | 82 | 54 | 142 | ||
| — | — | — | — | ||
| — | — | — | — | ||
| — | — | — | — | ||
| — | — | — | — |
Demographics
With a 2024 presidential margin of R+25, this district sits well outside Virginia's competitive tier, making it a benchmark for measuring the floor of Democratic support in the commonwealth's more rural or exurban precincts.
The Democratic margin in Virginia 99th State House District has rarely exceeded seventy-six points in modern history; the Republican margin has rarely exceeded fifty-six points. 2024 delivered the district to the Democratic candidate by three points.
Its demographics resemble the country more than they resemble most districts. A 61% non-Hispanic-white share, a 9% poverty rate, and a median household income of $92,968 — all within the broad national range.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
State House District 99, Virginia. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/51099/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.