- Lead
- 7,099
- Total
- 48,435
- vs nation
- R+13.2
Virginia 98th State House District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 6,207
- Total
- 46,520
- vs nation
- R+17.8
- Lead
- 9,293
- Total
- 40,616
- vs nation
- R+25.0
- Lead
- 9,095
- Total
- 39,293
- vs nation
- R+27.0
- Lead
- 8,578
- Total
- 40,157
- vs nation
- R+28.6
- Lead
- 13,817
- Total
- 36,387
- vs nation
- R+35.5
- Lead
- 10,335
- Total
- 30,682
- vs nation
- R+34.2
- Lead
- 7,110
- Total
- 25,473
- vs nation
- R+36.4
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+14.7MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 87,4972024 5-year
- Population density
- 588 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 149 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $123,1752024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 70.2%2024 5-year
- Black
- 9.5%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 7.8%2024 5-year
- Peak Republican margin
- R+68.2 in 1972MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State House District 73, VA · twin score 87.5
presidential history
Party record book
Virginia 98th State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
2004–2024 · 6 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
42.2%
19,641 votes · R+13.3 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Kamala Harris, 2024 · 42.2%
Republican
George W. Bush2004
68.6%
24,967 votes · R+38.0 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Mitt Romney, 2012 · 60.9%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Kamala Harris2024
20,419votes
42.2% of the vote · R+14.7 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · 19,641 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
27,518votes
56.8% of the vote · R+14.7 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 25,848 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Kamala Harris2024
−13.2pts D vs U.S.
Place R+14.7 · U.S. R+1.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · −17.8 pts
Republican
George W. Bush2004
+35.5pts R vs U.S.
Place R+38.0 · U.S. R+2.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · John McCain, 2008 · +28.6 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | D | 63.1%15,440 | 36.9%9,040 | 24,480 |
| 2018 | D | 51.3%16,647 | 48.7%15,834 | 32,481 |
Virginia 98th State House District sits in the Mid-Atlantic and Appalachia. In 2024 it voted Republican.
Across the recorded series it reached a Republican high of 68.2 points in 1972. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 1.3 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 14.7 points.
A population of 87,497, a 70% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $123,175 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State House District 73 and State House District 14.
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Virginia 98th State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/51098/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.