Akashic
1892–2024
Akashic
Virginia 86th State House District
presidential margin
2008R+4.32012R+4.02016R+5.72020D+3.22024D+1.6
full record · 20082024
D+1.6
2024
median income$87,199U.S. $80,734 · VA $93,170
median age37.8U.S. 39.1 · VA 39.3
poverty rate10.2%U.S. 12.5% · VA 10.0%
bachelor’s+ (25+)30.8%U.S. 35.6% · VA 42.3%
non-english7.8%U.S. 22.3% · VA 17.5%
race · ethnicity · ancestry
English14.4%
German10.1%
Irish8.9%
African American22.4%
African0.5%
Jamaican0.3%
Puerto Rican1.9%
Mexican1.6%
Dominican0.6%
Filipino1.3%
Vietnamese1.0%
Korean0.4%
religion

Religious adherence is published only at the county level (U.S. Religion Census). See Poquoson city.

American Community Survey 2024 5-year (income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · presidential returns from MIT Election Lab through 2024.

Virginia 86th State House District

Akashic
Virginia 86th State House DistrictHarrisD+1.6
2024
2024 presidential margin for Virginia 86th State House DistrictThe boundary of Virginia 86th State House District, filled by its 2024 presidential margin (D+1.6), over faint outlines of the counties it is drawn from.Virginia 86th State House District · D+1.6
How it voted
Share of the 2024 vote
Kamala HarrisDemocratic49.9%20,988
Donald TrumpRepublican48.3%20,332
Jill SteinGreen1.8%767
D+60
R+60
District boundary, filled by its own 2024 D-vs-R margin — precinct detail where available, over the 3 counties it's drawn from (shown faint).
The precinct map shows the 2024 presidential vote; the timeline scrubs the district’s overall result across 1892–2024, on its current boundaries.
County-level results (3 counties) — table
2024 presidential result by county for Virginia 86th State House District — winner and D-vs-R margin.
CountyWinnerMargin
Hampton city, VADemocraticD+39.8
Poquoson city, VARepublicanR+45.6
York County, VARepublicanR+6.2
Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonDemocraticRepublicanOtherMarginTotal
D
49.9%Harris20,988
48.3%Trump20,332
1.8%Stein767
+1.6%
42,087
D
50.5%Biden21,899
47.2%Trump20,490
2.3%Jorgensen1,017
+3.2%
43,406
R
44.0%Clinton17,504
49.7%Trump19,750
6.3%Johnson2,489
−5.7%
39,743
R
48.0%Obama19,311
52.0%Romney20,924
0.0%
−4.0%
40,235
R
47.4%Obama19,863
51.7%McCain21,670
0.9%Nader396
−4.3%
41,929
presidential history
Presidential margin, 2008–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over timeDemocratic-minus-Republican presidential margin from 2008 to 2024. Most recent: +1.6% in 2024.flipped D · 2020+1.6%DR20082024
Presidential margin over time
YearMargin (D minus R)
2008−4.3%
2012−4.0%
2016−5.7%
2020+3.2%
2024+1.6%
DemocraticRepublican
current representation
Current officeholders
DVirgil ThorntonState House · 86

State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.

Sitting at the competitive edge of Northern Virginia's suburban sprawl, this district has trended toward single-digit margins as population growth reshapes its electorate. Its 2024 presidential result of D+1.6 places it among the state's most closely watched legislative seats.

Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 3.2 points in 2020 and a Republican high of 5.7 points in 2016. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 1.7 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 1.6 points.

A population of 85,567, a 60% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $87,199 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State House District 89 and State House District 75.

The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.

Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Virginia 86th State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/51086/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
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Places within Virginia 86th State House District

Frequently asked questions

How did Virginia 86th State House District vote in 2024?
In 2024, Virginia 86th State House District voted Democratic by 1.6 points (D+1.6), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 42,087 votes cast, 20,988 went Democratic and 20,332 went Republican.
When did Virginia 86th State House District last vote Republican?
The most recent presidential election in which Virginia 86th State House District voted Republican was 2016.
How many people live in Virginia 86th State House District?
Virginia 86th State House District has a population of 85,567 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Virginia 86th State House District?
Median household income in Virginia 86th State House District is $87,199 — above the national median of $80,734. The Virginia state median is $93,170.
What is the political history of Virginia 86th State House District?
Akashic tracks 5 presidential elections in Virginia 86th State House District from 2008 to 2024. Of those, 2 went Democratic and 3 went Republican.