- Lead
- 8,015
- Total
- 46,801
- vs nation
- D+18.6
Virginia 58th State House District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 6,848
- Total
- 47,277
- vs nation
- D+10.0
- Lead
- 1,570
- Total
- 43,696
- vs nation
- D+1.5
- Lead
- 2,810
- Total
- 43,617
- vs nation
- R+10.3
- Lead
- 2,607
- Total
- 41,507
- vs nation
- R+13.6
- Lead
- 9,659
- Total
- 37,038
- vs nation
- R+23.6
- Lead
- 9,537
- Total
- 32,210
- vs nation
- R+30.1
- Lead
- 8,388
- Total
- 28,961
- vs nation
- R+37.5
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+17.1MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 84,4292024 5-year
- Population density
- 2,732 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 30.9 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $96,4032024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 68.0%2024 5-year
- Black
- 10.1%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 7.6%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+62.1 in 1912MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+78.2 in 1972MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State House District 103, NC · twin score 92.9
presidential history
Party record book
Virginia 58th State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
2004–2024 · 6 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Kamala Harris2024
57.7%
26,995 votes · D+17.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · 56.3%
Republican
George W. Bush2004
62.6%
23,192 votes · R+26.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · John McCain, 2008 · 52.5%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Kamala Harris2024
26,995votes
57.7% of the vote · D+17.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · 26,639 votes
Republican
George W. Bush2004
23,192votes
62.6% of the vote · R+26.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Mitt Romney, 2012 · 22,749 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Kamala Harris2024
+18.6pts D vs U.S.
Place D+17.1 · U.S. R+1.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · +10.0 pts
Republican
George W. Bush2004
+23.6pts R vs U.S.
Place R+26.1 · U.S. R+2.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · John McCain, 2008 · +13.6 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
With a population typical of Virginia's redrawn house districts, HD-58 sits within the Northern Virginia orbit where dense suburban geography and high educational attainment have steadily widened Democratic margins over the past decade.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 62.1 points in 1912 and a Republican high of 78.2 points in 1972. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 2.6 points toward the Democratic candidate; the 2024 margin was 17.1 points.
A population of 84,429, a 68% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $96,403 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State House District 103 and State House District 104.
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Virginia 58th State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/51058/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.