- Lead
- 1,163
- Total
- 40,729
- vs nation
- R+1.4
Virginia 41st State House District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 32
- Total
- 40,818
- vs nation
- R+4.4
- Lead
- 1,111
- Total
- 39,509
- vs nation
- R+4.9
- Lead
- 1,309
- Total
- 37,926
- vs nation
- R+7.3
- Lead
- 528
- Total
- 37,748
- vs nation
- R+5.9
- Lead
- 3,949
- Total
- 30,609
- vs nation
- R+10.4
- Lead
- 2,705
- Total
- 26,894
- vs nation
- R+10.6
- Lead
- 268
- Total
- 24,399
- vs nation
- R+9.6
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+2.9MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 88,1582024 5-year
- Population density
- 180 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 489 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $75,6202024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 78.8%2024 5-year
- Black
- 3.2%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 4.2%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+31.5 in 1876MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+46.0 in 1972MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State House District 34, OK · twin score 75.7
presidential history
Party record book
Virginia 41st State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
2004–2024 · 6 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Barack Obama2008
49.9%
18,853 votes · D+1.4 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · 48.8%
Republican
George W. Bush2004
56.0%
17,129 votes · R+12.9 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2024 · 50.6%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
19,931votes
48.8% of the vote · D+0.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Kamala Harris, 2024 · 19,463 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
20,626votes
50.6% of the vote · R+2.9 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 19,899 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Kamala Harris2024
−1.4pts D vs U.S.
Place R+2.9 · U.S. R+1.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · −4.4 pts
Republican
George W. Bush2004
+10.4pts R vs U.S.
Place R+12.9 · U.S. R+2.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Mitt Romney, 2012 · +7.3 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
In 2024 it voted Republican by R+2.8, against D+1.4 in 2008, having changed party at least once across the five cycles. The district had about 147,000 residents, 82.4% White alone in the 2024 ACS 5-year.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 31.5 points in 1876 and a Republican high of 46.0 points in 1972. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 2.9 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 2.9 points.
A population of 88,158, a 79% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $75,620 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State House District 34 and State House District 121.
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Virginia 41st State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/51041/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.