- Lead
- 322
- Total
- 2,736
- vs nation
- D+13.2
Vermont Rutland-Windsor State House District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 449
- Total
- 2,775
- vs nation
- D+11.7
- Lead
- 203
- Total
- 2,515
- vs nation
- D+6.0
- Lead
- 567
- Total
- 2,464
- vs nation
- D+19.2
- Lead
- 680
- Total
- 2,683
- vs nation
- D+18.1
- Lead
- 217
- Total
- 2,749
- vs nation
- D+10.4
- Lead
- 23
- Total
- 2,581
- vs nation
- D+0.4
- Lead
- 304
- Total
- 2,217
- vs nation
- D+5.2
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+11.8MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 4,6532024 5-year
- Population density
- 35 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 134 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $68,6562024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 92.6%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.4%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 1.6%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+26.0 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+72.6 in 1896MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Rutland-Bennington State House District, VT · twin score 98.7
presidential history
Party record book
Vermont Rutland-Windsor State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
63.0%
1,090 votes · D+26.0 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2008 · 61.9%
Republican
William McKinley1896
86.1%
607 votes · R+72.6 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Calvin Coolidge, 1924 · 85.2%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Barack Obama2008
1,661votes
61.9% of the vote · D+25.3 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · 1,565 votes
Republican
Ronald Reagan1984
1,402votes
63.2% of the vote · R+26.4 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Dwight D. Eisenhower, 1956 · 1,376 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Barack Obama2012
+19.2pts D vs U.S.
Place D+23.0 · U.S. D+3.9 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2008 · +18.1 pts
Republican
William McKinley1896
+66.5pts R vs U.S.
Place R+72.6 · U.S. R+6.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · William H. Taft, 1908 · +55.0 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Spanning portions of two historic Vermont counties, this small district of under 5,000 residents leans reliably Democratic at the presidential level, reflecting broader statewide trends even in areas defined by rural character and agricultural heritage.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 26.0 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 72.6 points in 1896. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 4.4 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 11.8 points.
A population of 4,653, a 93% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $68,656 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Rutland-Bennington State House District and Rutland-9 State House District.
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Vermont Rutland-Windsor State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/50R-W/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.