Akashic
1892–2024
Akashic
Utah 15th State House District
presidential margin
2008R+50.92012R+71.32016R+32.02020R+39.92024R+36.7
full record · 2008 → 2024
R+36.7
2024
median income$133,589U.S. $80,734 · UT $95,166
median age30.1U.S. 39.1 · UT 32.2
poverty rate6.3%U.S. 12.5% · UT 8.5%
bachelor’s+ (25+)39.3%U.S. 35.6% · UT 37.9%
non-english10.8%U.S. 22.3% · UT 15.9%
race · ethnicity · ancestry
English34.3%
German11.2%
Irish6.5%
Mexican6.6%
Peruvian0.5%
Spaniard0.5%
Tongan1.2%
Navajo0.6%
Samoan0.6%
Filipino0.4%
Japanese0.3%
Asian Indian0.2%
African American†0.7%
religion

Religious adherence is published only at the county level (U.S. Religion Census). See Davis County.

American Community Survey 2024 5-year (income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · presidential returns from MIT Election Lab through 2024.

Utah 15th State House District

Akashic
Utah 15th State House DistrictTrumpR+36.7
2024
2024 presidential margin for Utah 15th State House DistrictThe boundary of Utah 15th State House District, filled by its 2024 presidential margin (R+36.7), over faint outlines of the counties it is drawn from.Utah 15th State House District · R+36.7
How it voted
Share of the 2024 vote
Donald Trump ✓Republican66.9%14,287
Kamala HarrisDemocratic30.2%6,454
Chase OliverLibertarian2.8%606
D+60
R+60
District boundary, filled by its own 2024 D-vs-R margin — precinct detail where available, over the 1 county it's drawn from (shown faint).
The precinct map shows the 2024 presidential vote; the timeline scrubs the district’s overall result across 1892–2024, on its current boundaries.
County-level results (1 county) — table
2024 presidential result by county for Utah 15th State House District — winner and D-vs-R margin.
CountyWinnerMargin
Davis County, UTRepublicanR+24.9
5 presidential elections
Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonDemocraticRepublicanOtherMarginTotal
R
30.2%Harris6,454
66.9%Trump14,287
2.8%Oliver606
−36.7%
21,347
R
28.0%Biden5,604
67.9%Trump13,606
4.2%Jorgensen833
−39.9%
20,043
R
16.2%Clinton2,376
48.2%Trump7,069
35.6%McMullin5,224
−32.0%
14,669
R
14.3%Obama1,721
85.7%Romney10,278
0.0%
−71.3%
11,999
R
23.5%Obama2,344
74.3%McCain7,426
2.2%Baldwin218
−50.9%
9,988
presidential history
Presidential margin, 2008–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over timeDemocratic-minus-Republican presidential margin from 2008 to 2024. Most recent: −36.7% in 2024.−36.7%DR20082024
Presidential margin over time
YearMargin (D minus R)
2008−50.9%
2012−71.3%
2016−32.0%
2020−39.9%
2024−36.7%
DemocraticRepublican
current representation
Current officeholders
RAriel DefayState House · 15

State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.

Source · OpenStates current legislator CSV.

With a 2024 presidential margin of R+74.2, this rural Utah district ranks among the most one-sided in the state, leaving general-election outcomes functionally decided at the primary stage.

Across the recorded series it reached a Republican high of 71.3 points in 2012. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 3.2 points toward the Democratic candidate; the 2024 margin was 36.7 points.

A population of 43,577, a 85% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $133,589 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State House District 14 and State House District 13.

Political twins — state-house districts

The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.

State House District 14
Utah
99.7twin score
elasticity12-yr trend2008–2012 trajectory
State House District 13
Utah
99.3twin score
elasticity12-yr trend2008–2012 trajectory
State House District 17
Utah
99.2twin score
elasticity12-yr trend2008–2012 trajectory

Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Utah 15th State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/49015/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
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Places within Utah 15th State House District

counties it covers1
Davis County

Frequently asked questions

How did Utah 15th State House District vote in 2024?
In 2024, Utah 15th State House District voted Republican by 36.7 points (R+36.7), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 21,347 votes cast, 6,454 went Democratic and 14,287 went Republican.
How many people live in Utah 15th State House District?
Utah 15th State House District has a population of 43,577 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Utah 15th State House District?
Median household income in Utah 15th State House District is $133,589 — above the national median of $80,734. The Utah state median is $95,166.
What is the political history of Utah 15th State House District?
Akashic tracks 5 presidential elections in Utah 15th State House District from 2008 to 2024. Of those, 0 went Democratic and 5 went Republican.