- Lead
- 5,270
- Total
- 49,192
- vs nation
- D+12.2
Texas 149th State House District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 14,147
- Total
- 57,620
- vs nation
- D+20.1
- Lead
- 17,038
- Total
- 44,527
- vs nation
- D+36.2
- Lead
- 8,023
- Total
- 39,387
- vs nation
- D+16.5
- Lead
- 8,408
- Total
- 38,954
- vs nation
- D+14.3
- Lead
- 510
- Total
- 34,605
- vs nation
- D+3.9
- Lead
- 23
- Total
- 31,533
- vs nation
- R+0.4
- Lead
- 1,999
- Total
- 27,841
- vs nation
- R+1.3
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+10.7MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 198,7402024 5-year
- Population density
- 3,786 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 52.5 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $64,4692024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 13.2%2024 5-year
- Black
- 24.8%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 40.8%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+94.1 in 1912MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+14.4 in 1972MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Assembly District 54, CA · twin score 86.9
presidential history
Party record book
Texas 149th State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 37 with a vote-share denominator · 33 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Woodrow Wilson1912
97.0%
261 votes · D+94.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1936 · 91.2%
Republican
Richard Nixon1972
57.2%
10,585 votes · R+14.4 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Ronald Reagan, 1984 · 55.8%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
35,641votes
61.9% of the vote · D+24.6 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Hillary Clinton, 2016 · 29,993 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2020
21,494votes
37.3% of the vote · D+24.6 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2024 · 21,436 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
John W. Davis1924
+79.2pts D vs U.S.
Place D+54.1 · U.S. R+25.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · William J. Bryan, 1908 · +76.6 pts
Republican
Bob Dole1996
+1.3pts R vs U.S.
Place D+7.2 · U.S. D+8.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · George H. W. Bush, 1992 · +1.0 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | D | 58.0%27,743 | 42.0%20,051 | 47,794 |
Texas 149th State House District sits in the Gulf South and Southern Plains. In 2024 it voted Democratic.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 94.1 points in 1912 and a Republican high of 14.4 points in 1972. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 13.8 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 10.7 points.
A population of 198,740, a 13% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $64,469 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Assembly District 54 and State House District 101.
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Texas 149th State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/48149/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.