- Lead
- 18,247
- Total
- 68,125
- vs nation
- D+28.3
Texas 123rd State House District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 24,932
- Total
- 74,978
- vs nation
- D+28.8
- Lead
- 18,109
- Total
- 62,783
- vs nation
- D+26.8
- Lead
- 10,227
- Total
- 58,576
- vs nation
- D+13.6
- Lead
- 11,226
- Total
- 60,339
- vs nation
- D+11.3
- Lead
- 837
- Total
- 59,261
- vs nation
- D+3.9
- Lead
- 2,164
- Total
- 51,769
- vs nation
- D+3.7
- Lead
- 7,426
- Total
- 46,170
- vs nation
- D+7.6
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+26.8MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 197,1232024 5-year
- Population density
- 4,563 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 43.2 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $57,1462024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 25.3%2024 5-year
- Black
- 4.2%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 66.3%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+73.1 in 1932MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+8.4 in 1972MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State House District 125, TX · twin score 96.8
presidential history
Party record book
Texas 123rd State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1932
86.0%
5,310 votes · D+73.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1936 · 78.1%
Republican
Richard Nixon1972
54.0%
15,299 votes · R+8.4 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Ronald Reagan, 1984 · 53.9%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
49,439votes
65.9% of the vote · D+33.3 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Kamala Harris, 2024 · 42,703 votes
Republican
George W. Bush2004
28,945votes
48.8% of the vote · D+1.4 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 24,507 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Alton B. Parker1904
+64.0pts D vs U.S.
Place D+44.4 · U.S. R+19.7 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Grover Cleveland, 1892 · +63.2 pts
Republican
George W. Bush2000
−3.7pts R vs U.S.
Place D+4.2 · U.S. D+0.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · George W. Bush, 2004 · −3.9 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Texas 123rd State House District sits in the Gulf South and Southern Plains. In 2024 it voted Democratic.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 73.1 points in 1932 and a Republican high of 8.4 points in 1972. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 6.5 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 26.8 points.
A population of 197,123, a 25% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $57,146 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State House District 125 and State House District 116.
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Texas 123rd State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/48123/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.