- Lead
- 9,738
- Total
- 21,773
- vs nation
- D+46.2
Tennessee 86th State House District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 13,183
- Total
- 26,332
- vs nation
- D+45.6
- Lead
- 12,898
- Total
- 24,043
- vs nation
- D+51.6
- Lead
- 14,064
- Total
- 26,421
- vs nation
- D+49.4
- Lead
- 15,730
- Total
- 28,913
- vs nation
- D+47.1
- Lead
- 11,748
- Total
- 26,035
- vs nation
- D+47.6
- Lead
- 10,135
- Total
- 23,186
- vs nation
- D+43.2
- Lead
- 9,480
- Total
- 22,322
- vs nation
- D+33.9
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+44.7MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 70,0052024 5-year
- Population density
- 347 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 202 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $50,8332024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 26.4%2024 5-year
- Black
- 63.9%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 4.0%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+96.8 in 1936MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+1.5 in 1972MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State House District 88, TN · twin score 99.1
presidential history
Party record book
Tennessee 86th State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1936
98.3%
5,352 votes · D+96.8 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1940 · 94.2%
Republican
Richard Nixon1972
49.8%
7,261 votes · R+1.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · James G. Blaine, 1884 · 36.2%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Barack Obama2008
22,245votes
76.9% of the vote · D+54.4 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2012 · 20,142 votes
Republican
Ronald Reagan1984
7,643votes
34.5% of the vote · D+30.6 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Richard Nixon, 1972 · 7,261 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Alton B. Parker1904
+93.6pts D vs U.S.
Place D+74.0 · U.S. R+19.7 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · James M. Cox, 1920 · +84.8 pts
Republican
Barry Goldwater1964
−13.2pts R vs U.S.
Place D+35.8 · U.S. D+22.6 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Richard Nixon, 1972 · −21.7 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | D | 61.8%14,401 | 38.2%8,904 | 23,305 |
| 2020 | D | 63.2%17,722 | 36.8%10,298 | 28,020 |
With a 2024 presidential margin of D+44.7, this 70,000-person district stands out sharply from Tennessee's otherwise Republican-dominant legislative map, likely anchored by a dense urban core or a historically Black community with high Democratic loyalty.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 96.8 points in 1936 and a Republican high of 1.5 points in 1972. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 5.3 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 44.7 points.
A population of 70,005, a 26% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $50,833 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State House District 88 and State House District 87.
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Tennessee 86th State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/47086/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.