- Lead
- 18,061
- Total
- 35,141
- vs nation
- R+49.9
Tennessee 44th State House District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 15,073
- Total
- 30,670
- vs nation
- R+53.6
- Lead
- 11,620
- Total
- 22,505
- vs nation
- R+53.7
- Lead
- 10,190
- Total
- 20,624
- vs nation
- R+53.3
- Lead
- 9,033
- Total
- 21,080
- vs nation
- R+50.1
- Lead
- 7,455
- Total
- 19,254
- vs nation
- R+36.3
- Lead
- 3,110
- Total
- 15,444
- vs nation
- R+20.7
- Lead
- 1,680
- Total
- 13,052
- vs nation
- R+21.4
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+51.4MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 71,1642024 5-year
- Population density
- 221 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 322 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $89,4422024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 85.0%2024 5-year
- Black
- 3.9%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 5.0%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+80.4 in 1932MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+51.6 in 2016MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State House District 92, TN · twin score 97.1
presidential history
Party record book
Tennessee 44th State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1932
90.1%
1,032 votes · D+80.4 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · John W. Davis, 1924 · 83.7%
Republican
Donald Trump2024
75.2%
26,417 votes · R+51.4 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Mitt Romney, 2012 · 74.0%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Kamala Harris2024
8,356votes
23.8% of the vote · R+51.4 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · 7,557 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
26,417votes
75.2% of the vote · R+51.4 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 22,630 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
John W. Davis1924
+93.4pts D vs U.S.
Place D+68.2 · U.S. R+25.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · James M. Cox, 1920 · +68.7 pts
Republican
Donald Trump2016
+53.7pts R vs U.S.
Place R+51.6 · U.S. D+2.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · +53.6 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | R | 27.9%8,785 | 72.1%22,737 | 31,522 |
With a 2024 presidential margin exceeding 51 points, this district sits well outside competitive territory, making primary elections the de facto decision point for most races.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 80.4 points in 1932 and a Republican high of 51.6 points in 2016. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 2.3 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 51.4 points.
A population of 71,164, a 85% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $89,442 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State House District 92 and State House District 66.
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Tennessee 44th State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/47044/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.