- Lead
- 7,440
- Total
- 22,921
- vs nation
- R+31.0
South Carolina 16th State House District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 5,982
- Total
- 20,948
- vs nation
- R+33.0
- Lead
- 5,750
- Total
- 16,208
- vs nation
- R+37.6
- Lead
- 5,261
- Total
- 14,746
- vs nation
- R+39.5
- Lead
- 4,808
- Total
- 14,643
- vs nation
- R+40.1
- Lead
- 5,343
- Total
- 13,103
- vs nation
- R+38.3
- Lead
- 4,524
- Total
- 11,049
- vs nation
- R+41.5
- Lead
- 2,791
- Total
- 9,293
- vs nation
- R+38.6
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+32.5MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 41,7812024 5-year
- Population density
- 421 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 99.2 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $85,4372024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 68.9%2024 5-year
- Black
- 16.3%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 8.5%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+97.0 in 1924MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+66.0 in 1972MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State House District 60, MS · twin score 93.0
presidential history
Party record book
South Carolina 16th State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1936
98.2%
722 votes · D+96.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · John W. Davis, 1924 · 97.9%
Republican
Richard Nixon1972
81.7%
4,123 votes · R+66.0 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Ronald Reagan, 1984 · 75.3%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Kamala Harris2024
7,570votes
33.0% of the vote · R+32.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · 7,309 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
15,010votes
65.5% of the vote · R+32.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 13,291 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
John W. Davis1924
+122.2pts D vs U.S.
Place D+97.0 · U.S. R+25.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · James M. Cox, 1920 · +118.8 pts
Republican
Barry Goldwater1964
+54.5pts R vs U.S.
Place R+32.0 · U.S. D+22.6 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Richard Nixon, 1972 · +42.9 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
With a 2024 presidential margin of R+32.5 in a district of roughly 42,000 residents, this upstate or rural South Carolina seat has moved well beyond competitive territory, making it a benchmark for measuring GOP strength in the state's legislative map.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 97.0 points in 1924 and a Republican high of 66.0 points in 1972. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 3.9 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 32.5 points.
A population of 41,781, a 69% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $85,437 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State House District 60 and State House District 28.
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
South Carolina 16th State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/45016/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.