- Lead
- 1,854
- Total
- 12,452
- vs nation
- D+16.4
South Carolina 15th State House District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 2,834
- Total
- 14,194
- vs nation
- D+15.5
- Lead
- 1,026
- Total
- 12,101
- vs nation
- D+6.4
- Lead
- 781
- Total
- 10,801
- vs nation
- D+3.4
- Lead
- 1,165
- Total
- 10,318
- vs nation
- D+4.0
- Lead
- 49
- Total
- 8,702
- vs nation
- D+1.9
- Lead
- 43
- Total
- 7,117
- vs nation
- D+0.1
- Lead
- 151
- Total
- 5,895
- vs nation
- R+6.0
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+14.9MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 42,3022024 5-year
- Population density
- 2,694 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 15.7 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $65,2282024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 40.0%2024 5-year
- Black
- 31.4%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 18.0%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+91.4 in 1912MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+28.5 in 1972MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State House District 162, GA · twin score 87.4
presidential history
Party record book
South Carolina 15th State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1936
95.2%
379 votes · D+90.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Woodrow Wilson, 1916 · 95.0%
Republican
Richard Nixon1972
63.3%
1,939 votes · R+28.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Barry Goldwater, 1964 · 63.2%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
8,370votes
59.0% of the vote · D+20.0 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Kamala Harris, 2024 · 7,045 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2020
5,536votes
39.0% of the vote · D+20.0 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2016 · 5,196 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
James M. Cox1920
+107.7pts D vs U.S.
Place D+81.5 · U.S. R+26.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · John W. Davis, 1924 · +100.8 pts
Republican
Barry Goldwater1964
+49.0pts R vs U.S.
Place R+26.4 · U.S. D+22.6 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Richard Nixon, 1960 · +13.0 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | D | 56.1%7,386 | 43.9%5,773 | 13,159 |
South Carolina 15th State House District sits in the Deep South. In 2024 it voted Democratic.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 91.4 points in 1912 and a Republican high of 28.5 points in 1972. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 5.1 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 14.9 points.
A population of 42,302, a 40% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $65,228 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State House District 162 and State House District 102.
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
South Carolina 15th State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/45015/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.