- Lead
- 4,754
- Total
- 16,271
- vs nation
- D+30.7
Pennsylvania 202nd State House District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 8,098
- Total
- 19,506
- vs nation
- D+37.1
- Lead
- 8,157
- Total
- 19,855
- vs nation
- D+39.0
- Lead
- 8,896
- Total
- 18,852
- vs nation
- D+43.3
- Lead
- 7,989
- Total
- 20,270
- vs nation
- D+32.1
- Lead
- 6,048
- Total
- 19,485
- vs nation
- D+33.5
- Lead
- 5,450
- Total
- 16,090
- vs nation
- D+33.4
- Lead
- 5,379
- Total
- 15,193
- vs nation
- D+26.9
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+29.2MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 64,5452024 5-year
- Population density
- 25,818 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 2.5 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $56,9152024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 28.3%2024 5-year
- Black
- 20.1%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 27.7%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+47.2 in 2012MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+82.1 in 1904MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Assembly District 51, NY · twin score 90.9
presidential history
Party record book
Pennsylvania 202nd State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Barack Obama2012
73.3%
13,812 votes · D+47.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · 70.3%
Republican
Theodore Roosevelt1904
90.6%
11,766 votes · R+82.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Calvin Coolidge, 1924 · 86.7%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
15,793votes
55.8% of the vote · D+12.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · John F. Kennedy, 1960 · 14,669 votes
Republican
Thomas E. Dewey1948
21,863votes
66.4% of the vote · R+35.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Herbert Hoover, 1928 · 21,558 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Barack Obama2012
+43.3pts D vs U.S.
Place D+47.2 · U.S. D+3.9 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Hillary Clinton, 2016 · +39.0 pts
Republican
Charles E. Hughes1916
+67.2pts R vs U.S.
Place R+64.0 · U.S. D+3.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · William McKinley, 1900 · +65.1 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | D | 93.4%11,766 | 6.6%833 | 12,599 |
With a 2024 presidential margin exceeding D+29, this Philadelphia-area district ranks among the most reliably Democratic constituencies in the state, reflecting a dense, diverse urban electorate that has shifted little in recent cycles.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 47.2 points in 2012 and a Republican high of 82.1 points in 1904. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 12.3 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 29.2 points.
A population of 64,545, a 28% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $56,915 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Assembly District 51 and State House District 179.
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Pennsylvania 202nd State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/42202/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.