- Lead
- 6,036
- Total
- 41,087
- vs nation
- R+13.2
Pennsylvania 46th State House District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 5,163
- Total
- 38,330
- vs nation
- R+17.9
- Lead
- 5,668
- Total
- 31,760
- vs nation
- R+19.9
- Lead
- 3,150
- Total
- 30,090
- vs nation
- R+14.3
- Lead
- 1,311
- Total
- 31,347
- vs nation
- R+11.5
- Lead
- 166
- Total
- 30,555
- vs nation
- D+1.9
- Lead
- 1,581
- Total
- 27,224
- vs nation
- D+5.3
- Lead
- 2,730
- Total
- 25,271
- vs nation
- D+2.3
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+14.7MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 66,6292024 5-year
- Population density
- 583 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 114 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $99,7312024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 86.6%2024 5-year
- Black
- 2.8%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 2.0%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+34.1 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+47.9 in 1904MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State House District 39, PA · twin score 95.1
presidential history
Party record book
Pennsylvania 46th State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
66.9%
19,796 votes · D+34.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1936 · 64.8%
Republican
Theodore Roosevelt1904
71.3%
4,202 votes · R+47.9 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Warren G. Harding, 1920 · 66.1%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
19,796votes
66.9% of the vote · D+34.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Kamala Harris, 2024 · 17,377 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
23,413votes
57.0% of the vote · R+14.7 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 21,526 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Walter Mondale1984
+28.7pts D vs U.S.
Place D+10.5 · U.S. R+18.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Michael Dukakis, 1988 · +24.5 pts
Republican
Theodore Roosevelt1904
+28.3pts R vs U.S.
Place R+47.9 · U.S. R+19.7 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · William McKinley, 1900 · +25.9 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
With a 2024 presidential margin of R+14.7, this 66,000-resident district has drifted well outside competitive range, reflecting the broader realignment of rural Pennsylvania toward Republican candidates over the past decade.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 34.1 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 47.9 points in 1904. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 1.2 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 14.7 points.
A population of 66,629, a 87% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $99,731 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State House District 39 and State House District 44.
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Pennsylvania 46th State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/42046/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.