- Lead
- 12,758
- Total
- 68,122
- vs nation
- D+20.2
Ohio 16th State House District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 13,329
- Total
- 71,418
- vs nation
- D+14.2
- Lead
- 8,057
- Total
- 66,052
- vs nation
- D+10.1
- Lead
- 11,314
- Total
- 67,815
- vs nation
- D+12.8
- Lead
- 10,968
- Total
- 70,391
- vs nation
- D+8.3
- Lead
- 6,976
- Total
- 72,063
- vs nation
- D+12.1
- Lead
- 3,480
- Total
- 62,416
- vs nation
- D+5.1
- Lead
- 6,080
- Total
- 60,981
- vs nation
- D+1.4
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+18.7MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 125,1302024 5-year
- Population density
- 3,438 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 36.4 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $88,6042024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 80.5%2024 5-year
- Black
- 5.5%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 6.6%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+20.2 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+53.3 in 1904MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State House District 21, PA · twin score 89.8
presidential history
Party record book
Ohio 16th State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
60.1%
43,100 votes · D+20.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Kamala Harris, 2024 · 58.9%
Republican
Warren G. Harding1920
73.8%
21,580 votes · R+52.8 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Theodore Roosevelt, 1904 · 71.3%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
43,100votes
60.1% of the vote · D+20.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · 42,010 votes
Republican
Dwight D. Eisenhower1956
51,309votes
65.8% of the vote · R+31.7 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Richard Nixon, 1972 · 47,813 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Kamala Harris2024
+20.2pts D vs U.S.
Place D+18.7 · U.S. R+1.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · +14.2 pts
Republican
Herbert Hoover1932
+36.2pts R vs U.S.
Place R+18.5 · U.S. D+17.8 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Theodore Roosevelt, 1904 · +33.6 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | D | 66.9%33,783 | 33.1%16,746 | 50,529 |
| 2020 | D | 64.7%37,545 | 35.3%20,497 | 58,042 |
Ohio House District 16 sits within the Columbus metro, where rapid population growth and a rising share of college-educated voters have steadily shifted the district's presidential margins toward Democrats over the past decade.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 20.2 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 53.3 points in 1904. The 2024 margin was 18.7 points.
A population of 125,130, a 81% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $88,604 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State House District 21 and State House District 42.
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Ohio 16th State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/39016/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.