- Lead
- 53
- Total
- 6,348
- vs nation
- D+2.3
North Dakota 10th State House District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 276
- Total
- 6,565
- vs nation
- R+0.3
- Lead
- 291
- Total
- 5,582
- vs nation
- R+7.3
- Lead
- 166
- Total
- 5,095
- vs nation
- R+0.6
- Lead
- 643
- Total
- 5,006
- vs nation
- D+5.6
- Lead
- 674
- Total
- 4,544
- vs nation
- R+12.4
- Lead
- 607
- Total
- 4,042
- vs nation
- R+15.5
- Lead
- 3
- Total
- 3,472
- vs nation
- R+8.4
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+0.8MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 16,6602024 5-year
- Population density
- 3,471 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 4.8 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $58,1482024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 67.9%2024 5-year
- Black
- 17.6%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 4.4%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+26.7 in 1936MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+56.8 in 1904MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State House District 44, ND · twin score 94.3
presidential history
Party record book
North Dakota 10th State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 · 34 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1936
59.2%
920 votes · D+26.7 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Lyndon B. Johnson, 1964 · 57.2%
Republican
Warren G. Harding1920
73.8%
696 votes · R+51.6 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Theodore Roosevelt, 1904 · 73.6%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
3,292votes
50.1% of the vote · D+4.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Kamala Harris, 2024 · 3,115 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
3,062votes
48.2% of the vote · D+0.8 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 3,016 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
George McGovern1972
+8.2pts D vs U.S.
Place R+14.9 · U.S. R+23.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2008 · +5.6 pts
Republican
Benjamin Harrison1892
+51.8pts R vs U.S.
Place R+50.2 · U.S. D+1.7 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Theodore Roosevelt, 1904 · +37.1 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | R | 42.1%2,934 | 57.9%4,038 | 6,972 |
| 2018 | D | 51.6%3,244 | 48.4%3,037 | 6,281 |
Despite North Dakota's strong Republican lean statewide, this state house district recorded a Democratic presidential margin in 2024, making it an outlier worth watching in legislative races.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 26.7 points in 1936 and a Republican high of 56.8 points in 1904. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 3.4 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 0.8 points.
A population of 16,660, a 68% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $58,148 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State House District 44 and State House District 43.
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
North Dakota 10th State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/38010/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.