- Lead
- 34,702
- Total
- 40,773
- vs nation
- D+86.6
New York 58th State House District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 41,401
- Total
- 45,199
- vs nation
- D+87.1
- Lead
- 39,983
- Total
- 42,797
- vs nation
- D+91.3
- Lead
- 37,757
- Total
- 39,926
- vs nation
- D+90.7
- Lead
- 37,546
- Total
- 39,909
- vs nation
- D+86.8
- Lead
- 31,715
- Total
- 34,410
- vs nation
- D+94.6
- Lead
- 31,144
- Total
- 33,229
- vs nation
- D+93.2
- Lead
- 27,029
- Total
- 28,966
- vs nation
- D+84.8
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+85.1MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 129,4652024 5-year
- Population density
- 38,078 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 3.4 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $71,6562024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 2.4%2024 5-year
- Black
- 78.4%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 7.5%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+94.6 in 2012MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State Legislative District 25, MD · twin score 98.4
presidential history
Party record book
New York 58th State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2020 (partial returns from 1876) · 37 presidential cycles · 37 with a vote-share denominator · 33 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Barack Obama2012
97.1%
38,768 votes · D+94.6 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2008 · 97.0%
Republican
Warren G. Harding1920
20.8%
2,315 votes · D+48.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · William McKinley, 1896 · 15.4%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
43,938votes
95.9% of the vote · D+91.8 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · 43,204 votes
Republican
Dwight D. Eisenhower1956
3,698votes
9.4% of the vote · D+81.3 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Dwight D. Eisenhower, 1952 · 3,564 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Walter Mondale1984
+103.5pts D vs U.S.
Place D+85.3 · U.S. R+18.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Al Smith, 1928 · +101.7 pts
Republican
William H. Taft1912
−52.0pts R vs U.S.
Place D+71.6 · U.S. D+19.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Thomas E. Dewey, 1944 · −59.6 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Assembly District 58, anchored in the South Bronx, recorded a 2024 presidential margin of D+85.1 — among the widest of any New York state house district — reflecting a densely urban, majority-minority electorate with historically low Republican vote share.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 94.6 points in 2012. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 6.5 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 85.1 points.
A population of 129,465, a 2% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $71,656 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State Legislative District 25 and Assembly District 42.
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
New York 58th State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/36058/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.