- Lead
- 4,768
- Total
- 23,229
- vs nation
- R+19.1
New York 49th State House District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 3,357
- Total
- 26,494
- vs nation
- D+8.2
- Lead
- 3,274
- Total
- 22,315
- vs nation
- D+12.6
- Lead
- 3,620
- Total
- 20,008
- vs nation
- D+14.2
- Lead
- 1,793
- Total
- 21,737
- vs nation
- D+1.0
- Lead
- 899
- Total
- 21,068
- vs nation
- R+1.8
- Lead
- 3,345
- Total
- 16,650
- vs nation
- D+19.6
- Lead
- 3,092
- Total
- 14,423
- vs nation
- D+12.9
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+20.5MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 139,8732024 5-year
- Population density
- 58,280 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 2.4 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $65,6302024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 24.6%2024 5-year
- Black
- 1.1%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 15.7%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+21.4 in 1996MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+72.9 in 1920MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Assembly District 47, NY · twin score 98.7
presidential history
Party record book
New York 49th State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2020 (partial returns from 1876) · 37 presidential cycles · 37 with a vote-share denominator · 33 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Barack Obama2012
58.4%
11,686 votes · D+18.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Bill Clinton, 1996 · 57.9%
Republican
Warren G. Harding1920
83.0%
19,007 votes · R+72.9 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · William McKinley, 1896 · 80.2%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
14,791votes
55.8% of the vote · D+12.7 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Lyndon B. Johnson, 1964 · 13,243 votes
Republican
Dwight D. Eisenhower1956
29,854votes
73.5% of the vote · R+46.9 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Dwight D. Eisenhower, 1952 · 28,989 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Al Gore2000
+19.6pts D vs U.S.
Place D+20.1 · U.S. D+0.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2012 · +14.2 pts
Republican
William McKinley1896
+57.3pts R vs U.S.
Place R+63.4 · U.S. R+6.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Charles E. Hughes, 1916 · +53.1 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | D | 85.5%19,694 | 14.5%3,341 | 23,035 |
Assembly District 49, covering part of Staten Island, delivered a 20.5-point Republican presidential margin in 2024 — an outlier in a state where most assembly districts lean Democratic by double digits.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 21.4 points in 1996 and a Republican high of 72.9 points in 1920. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 33.2 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 20.5 points.
A population of 139,873, a 25% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $65,630 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Assembly District 47 and Assembly District 25.
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
New York 49th State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/36049/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.