Assembly District 03 State House District (NJ) — Elections 1876–2024

New Jersey 3rd State House District, New Jersey: Bellwether district. In 2024, voted R+6%. Republican peak: R+59 in 1928.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin: R+6MIT Election Lab
Political archetype: BellwetherAkashic typology
Population: 274,4382024 5-year
Median household income: $94,0582024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic): 71.1%2024 5-year
Black: 12.7%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino: 12.6%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin: D+32 in 1964MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin: R+59 in 1928MIT Election Lab

2024 results by constituent county

4 counties · 1 D · 3 R

R+60

D+60

One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.

38 presidential elections

Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
Year	Won	Margin	Democratic	Republican	Total
2024	R	−6.4%	63,001	71,817	137,381
2020	R	−0.9%	71,159	72,481	145,049
2016	R	−3.1%	56,272	60,098	122,281
2012	D	+10.0%	64,576	52,612	119,095
2008	D	+11.3%	67,934	53,987	123,648
2004	D	+2.5%	58,099	55,211	114,460
2000	D	+14.5%	54,871	40,498	98,933
1996	D	+17.7%	47,380	30,830	93,614
1992	D	+3.4%	39,324	35,914	99,238
1988	R	−17.6%	35,243	50,493	86,778
1984	R	−25.3%	32,519	54,747	87,735
1980	R	−11.7%	31,704	41,212	81,038
1976	D	+6.9%	41,673	36,170	79,448
1972	R	−26.7%	27,543	47,903	76,289
1968	R	−1.4%	31,934	33,032	75,955
1964	D	+32.0%	48,707	25,072	73,826
1960	R	−3.7%	34,865	37,568	72,481
1956	R	−19.8%	24,834	37,144	62,092
1952	R	−6.5%	27,622	31,446	59,205
1948	R	−4.5%	21,929	24,002	46,539
1944	D	+7.4%	24,249	20,886	45,238
1940	D	+12.5%	28,424	22,070	50,665
1936	D	+16.6%	28,221	20,123	48,708
1932	R	−14.6%	18,152	24,498	43,615
1928	R	−58.8%	8,418	32,544	41,065
1924	R	−47.9%	6,695	20,600	29,046
1920	R	−38.4%	7,315	17,157	25,647
1916	R	−12.3%	6,575	8,520	15,780
1912	D	+16.5%	5,573	3,336	13,590
1908	R	−13.3%	6,354	8,383	15,261
1904	R	−21.9%	5,160	8,260	14,168
1900	R	−14.7%	5,546	7,590	13,903
1896	R	−19.0%	5,418	8,109	14,155
1892	R	−1.8%	6,372	6,611	13,622
1888	—	No data	—	—	—
1884	—	No data	—	—	—
1880	—	No data	—	—	—
1876	—	No data	—	—	—

Demographics

Race, ethnicity, and ancestry

Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.

Irish

20.5%

Italian

18.4%

German

15.4%

English

10.1%

Polish

4.4%

American

3.2%

Scottish

0.9%

Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.

Age distribution by sex

Median age: 40.2 in this county, 39.1 nationally

Male

Age

Female

0.7%

85+

1.3%

2.1%

75–84

2.7%

4.9%

65–74

5.5%

6.7%

55–64

7.1%

6.1%

45–54

6.5%

35–44

6.5%

6.4%

25–34

6.0%

4.7%

18–24

4.4%

8.4%

5–17

8.1%

2.7%

2.6%

Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.

Median household income

2024 inflation-adjusted dollars

$94,058

Assembly District 03 ranks near the middle of US counties.

Assembly District 03$94,058

New Jersey$77,971

United States$80,734

Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.

Poverty rate

All persons below federal poverty line

10.0%

Child poverty is below the national average.

Children under 1813.1%

Working age (18–64)8.8%

Seniors (65+)11.0%

Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.

Language at home

Population aged 5 and older

87.5%

speak English only

Spanish8.2%

Other Indo-European2.4%

Asian & Pacific Islander1.3%

Other languages0.6%

Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.

Religious adherents

Adherents per capita by tradition

Catholic & Orthodox

30.7%

Other Christian

8.5%

Methodist

3.8%

Non-Christian

3.0%

Mainline Protestant

2.0%

Baptist

1.8%

Pentecostal & Holiness

1.2%

Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 49.0% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

New Jersey's 3rd Assembly District sits in competitive suburban territory, where the 2024 presidential race finished at D+3.4 — close enough that small shifts in turnout or voter mix reliably reshape outcomes.

The Democratic margin in New Jersey 3rd State House District has rarely exceeded thirty-two points in modern history; the Republican margin has rarely exceeded fifty-nine points. 2024 delivered the district to the Republican candidate by six points.

Its demographics resemble the country more than they resemble most districts. A 71% non-Hispanic-white share, a 10% poverty rate, and a median household income of $94,058 — all within the broad national range.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page

All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.

Assembly District 03, New Jersey. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/34003/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.

License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did Assembly District 03, New Jersey vote in 2024?

In 2024, Assembly District 03, New Jersey voted Republican by 6.4 points (R+6), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 137,381 votes cast, 63,001 went Democratic and 71,817 went Republican.

What is Assembly District 03, New Jersey's political archetype?

Akashic classifies Assembly District 03, New Jersey as a "Bellwether" district based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the district has voted Democratic 12 times, Republican 22 times, and other 0 times.

When did Assembly District 03, New Jersey last vote Democratic?

The most recent presidential election in which Assembly District 03, New Jersey voted Democratic was 2012.

How many people live in Assembly District 03, New Jersey?

Assembly District 03, New Jersey has a population of 274,438 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.

What is the median household income in Assembly District 03, New Jersey?

Median household income in Assembly District 03, New Jersey is $94,058 — above the national median of $80,734. The New Jersey state median is $77,971.

What is the political history of Assembly District 03, New Jersey?

Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Assembly District 03, New Jersey from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 12 went Democratic and 22 went Republican. The district's archetype — "Bellwether" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.

New Jersey 3rd State House District votes the way the country votes.

Key facts

Demographics

Compare two places, side by side

Frequently asked questions