HarrisDemocratic21.2%1,284TrumpRepublican76.8%4,652OtherAll other candidates2.0%122
R+55.6- Lead
- 3,368
- Total
- 6,058
- vs nation
- R+54.1
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
Akashicstate house district
Montana 2nd State House District
Office (updates table and map)
President margin by year
Place winner margin
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
The precinct map shows the 2024 presidential vote; the timeline scrubs the district’s overall result across 1892–2024, on its current boundaries.
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
BidenDemocratic23.6%1,432TrumpRepublican74.4%4,510OtherAll other candidates2.0%122
R+50.8- Lead
- 3,078
- Total
- 6,064
- vs nation
- R+55.2
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ClintonDemocratic21.1%1,020TrumpRepublican72.7%3,517OtherAll other candidates6.2%299
R+51.6- Lead
- 2,497
- Total
- 4,836
- vs nation
- R+53.7
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ObamaDemocratic26.8%1,247RomneyRepublican69.1%3,211OtherAll other candidates4.1%191
R+42.2- Lead
- 1,964
- Total
- 4,649
- vs nation
- R+46.1
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ObamaDemocratic32.3%1,549McCainRepublican63.0%3,025OtherAll other candidates4.7%226
R+30.8- Lead
- 1,476
- Total
- 4,800
- vs nation
- R+38.0
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
KerryDemocratic25.7%1,136BushRepublican70.3%3,103OtherAll other candidates4.0%176
R+44.6- Lead
- 1,967
- Total
- 4,415
- vs nation
- R+42.1
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
GoreDemocratic20.4%826BushRepublican70.7%2,861OtherAll other candidates8.8%357
R+50.3- Lead
- 2,035
- Total
- 4,044
- vs nation
- R+50.8
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ClintonDemocratic33.5%1,334DoleRepublican47.4%1,888OtherAll other candidates19.2%765
R+13.9- Lead
- 554
- Total
- 3,987
- vs nation
- R+22.4
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+55.6MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 10,8942024 5-year
- Population density
- 6.9 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 1,571 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $46,0452024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 90.1%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.1%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 2.3%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+40.1 in 1936MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+77.3 in 1904MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State House District 1, MT · twin score 97.0
presidential history
Party record book
Montana 2nd State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1896–2024 · 33 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1936
64.9%
960 votes · D+40.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Lyndon B. Johnson, 1964 · 63.6%
Republican
Theodore Roosevelt1904
88.6%
39 votes · R+77.3 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2024 · 76.8%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Michael Dukakis1988
1,650votes
45.5% of the vote · R+4.6 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2008 · 1,549 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
4,652votes
76.8% of the vote · R+55.6 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 4,510 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
William J. Bryan1896
+20.4pts D vs U.S.
Place D+14.3 · U.S. R+6.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1936 · +15.8 pts
Republican
Theodore Roosevelt1904
+57.6pts R vs U.S.
Place R+77.3 · U.S. R+19.7 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · +55.2 pts
current representation
Current officeholders
RTom MillettState House · 2
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
U.S. House elections · 2 House
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
With a 2024 presidential margin of R+55.6, this sparsely populated district of roughly 11,000 residents ranks among the most heavily Republican-leaning constituencies in the state legislature.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 40.1 points in 1936 and a Republican high of 77.3 points in 1904. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 4.8 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 55.6 points.
A population of 10,894, a 90% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $46,045 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State House District 1 and State House District 76.
Political twins — state-house districts
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
State House District 1
Montana
97.0twin score
2012–2024 trajectory≠ college share
State House District 76
Montana
95.8twin score
2016–2024 trajectoryelasticity≠ % Evangelical
State House District 85
Montana
95.4twin score
2012–2024 trajectory≠ median income
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Montana 2nd State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/30002/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
Montana at the ballot boxAll elections →
Places within Montana 2nd State House District
counties it covers2
Frequently asked questions
How did Montana 2nd State House District vote in 2024?
In 2024, Montana 2nd State House District voted Republican by 55.6 points (R+55.6), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 6,058 votes cast, 1,284 went Democratic and 4,652 went Republican.
When did Montana 2nd State House District last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Montana 2nd State House District voted Democratic was 1968.
How many people live in Montana 2nd State House District?
Montana 2nd State House District has a population of 10,894 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Montana 2nd State House District?
Median household income in Montana 2nd State House District is $46,045 — below the national median of $80,734. The Montana state median is $72,509.
What is the political history of Montana 2nd State House District?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Montana 2nd State House District from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 10 went Democratic and 21 went Republican.