- Lead
- 3,839
- Total
- 7,078
- vs nation
- R+52.8
Montana 1st State House District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 3,465
- Total
- 6,823
- vs nation
- R+55.2
- Lead
- 2,706
- Total
- 5,357
- vs nation
- R+52.6
- Lead
- 2,014
- Total
- 5,037
- vs nation
- R+43.8
- Lead
- 1,597
- Total
- 5,178
- vs nation
- R+38.1
- Lead
- 2,053
- Total
- 4,761
- vs nation
- R+40.7
- Lead
- 2,293
- Total
- 4,431
- vs nation
- R+52.3
- Lead
- 527
- Total
- 4,403
- vs nation
- R+20.5
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+54.2MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 10,8162024 5-year
- Population density
- 4.2 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 2,569 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $53,9452024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 89.8%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.2%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 3.3%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+46.9 in 1936MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+54.2 in 2024MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State House District 2, MT · twin score 97.0
presidential history
Party record book
Montana 1st State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1912–2024 · 29 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1936
72.3%
1,206 votes · D+46.9 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1932 · 68.8%
Republican
Donald Trump2024
76.0%
5,377 votes · R+54.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 74.3%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Michael Dukakis1988
2,072votes
50.3% of the vote · D+1.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Jimmy Carter, 1976 · 1,716 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
5,377votes
76.0% of the vote · R+54.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 5,070 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1936
+22.7pts D vs U.S.
Place D+46.9 · U.S. D+24.3 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1932 · +22.5 pts
Republican
Donald Trump2020
+55.2pts R vs U.S.
Place R+50.8 · U.S. D+4.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2024 · +52.8 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Covering a sparsely populated stretch of the state, this district delivered a 43-point Republican margin in 2024, reflecting the heavily Republican lean common to rural Montana's ranching and agricultural communities.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 46.9 points in 1936 and a Republican high of 54.2 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 3.5 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 54.2 points.
A population of 10,816, a 90% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $53,945 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State House District 2 and State House District 85.
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Montana 1st State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/30001/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.