- Lead
- 516
- Total
- 13,901
- vs nation
- R+2.2
Missouri 133rd State House District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 50
- Total
- 15,560
- vs nation
- R+4.1
- Lead
- 1,724
- Total
- 13,359
- vs nation
- R+15.0
- Lead
- 1,193
- Total
- 12,972
- vs nation
- R+13.1
- Lead
- 51
- Total
- 13,987
- vs nation
- R+7.6
- Lead
- 1,218
- Total
- 12,623
- vs nation
- R+7.2
- Lead
- 262
- Total
- 10,551
- vs nation
- R+3.0
- Lead
- 496
- Total
- 10,294
- vs nation
- R+3.7
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+3.7MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 37,6802024 5-year
- Population density
- 2,990 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 12.6 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $45,5272024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 77.0%2024 5-year
- Black
- 5.1%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 7.5%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+27.3 in 1932MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+27.6 in 1972MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State House District 135, MO · twin score 97.6
presidential history
Party record book
Missouri 133rd State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
63.1%
3,639 votes · D+26.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1936 · 63.0%
Republican
Richard Nixon1972
63.8%
4,261 votes · R+27.6 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Ronald Reagan, 1984 · 60.0%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
7,578votes
48.7% of the vote · D+0.3 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2008 · 6,799 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2020
7,528votes
48.4% of the vote · D+0.3 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2024 · 7,088 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
John W. Davis1924
+36.5pts D vs U.S.
Place D+11.4 · U.S. R+25.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · James M. Cox, 1920 · +27.0 pts
Republican
Donald Trump2016
+15.0pts R vs U.S.
Place R+12.9 · U.S. D+2.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Richard Nixon, 1960 · +14.3 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | R | 39.9%5,554 | 60.1%8,370 | 13,924 |
| 2018 | R | 42.2%5,798 | 57.8%7,926 | 13,724 |
Missouri 133rd State House District sits in the Border South. In 2024 it voted Republican.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 27.3 points in 1932 and a Republican high of 27.6 points in 1972. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 4.0 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 3.7 points.
A population of 37,680, a 77% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $45,527 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State House District 135 and State House District 132.
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Missouri 133rd State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/29133/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.