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state house district

Missouri 115th State House District

Office (updates table and map)

President margin by year

Place winner margin

1876–2024 · D minus R

Full record · 1876 → 2024

2024

Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab

The precinct map shows the 2024 presidential vote; the timeline scrubs the district’s overall result across 1892–2024, on its current boundaries.

People and households

Who lives here

Exact values for this place, its state, and the United States.

Race · ethnicity · ancestry

Communities and origins

German30.5%21.3%12.5%

Irish15.3%11.8%9.4%

English11.8%11.9%9.5%

American6.5%6.8%5.3%

Italian5.5%3.2%4.8%

French4.6%2.2%1.6%

Polish2.2%1.3%2.2%

Scottish1.7%1.8%1.3%

Mexican0.8%3.2%11.3%

Puerto Rican0.2%0.4%1.8%

Hispanic or Latino counts residents of any race; the race groups count only their non-Hispanic residents, so the groups are mutually exclusive and sum to 100%. Expand a row to see ancestries reported within that group.

Age and life stage

Measure	MO HD 115	Missouri	United States
Median age	41.8	39.2	39.1
Age 18–24	7.4%	9.2%	9.2%
Age 65 and older	16.6%	17.9%	17.2%

Household economy

Measure	MO HD 115	Missouri	United States
Median household income	$78,867	$70,702	$84,427
Poverty rate	7.6%	12.6%	12.5%
Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)	24.7%	32.4%	35.6%

Housing and tenure

Measure	MO HD 115	Missouri	United States
Owner-occupied homes	85.6%	68.1%	65.2%
Renter-occupied homes	14.4%	31.9%	34.8%
Median home value	$213,700	$230,300	$332,700
Median gross rent (monthly)	$894	$1,033	$1,413
Renters paying 30%+ of income	26.3%	45.6%	51.1%
Vacant housing units	5.8%	11.2%	10.1%

Getting to work

Measure	MO HD 115	Missouri	United States
Mean commute	37.5 min	23.5 min	26.4 min
Commutes 60 minutes or more	21.8%	5.4%	8.6%
Drives alone to work	82.1%	74.8%	68.8%
Takes public transit	0.0%	0.8%	3.2%
Works from home	9.4%	13.0%	15.1%

Languages at home

Measure	MO HD 115	Missouri	United States
Speaks a non-English language at home	3.3%	6.7%	22.3%
Spanish	1.1%	2.9%	13.6%

Religious landscape

Measure	MO HD 115	Missouri	United States
Catholic	—	12.5%	18.6%
Evangelical Protestant	—	24.1%	16.5%
Unclaimed / not counted	—	51.7%	51.5%

Origins and service

Measure	MO HD 115	Missouri	United States
Foreign-born residents	1.0%	4.5%	14.1%
Naturalized citizens	0.8%	2.3%	7.4%
Not U.S. citizens	0.1%	2.2%	6.8%
Veterans (18+)	10.5%	7.3%	6.2%
Income inequality (Gini)	0.374	0.465	0.483

American Community Survey 2024 5-year (CVAP, income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents; unclaimed is the residual not counted by congregations · American Community Survey 2024 — housing and tenure (B25003, B25002, B25077, B25064, B25070), commuting (B08013, B08303, B08301), origins and service (B05002, B21001, B19083).

President results by year

Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries

HarrisDemocratic24.5%4,779TrumpRepublican74.3%14,479OtherAll other candidates1.2%231

R+49.8

Lead: 9,700
Total: 19,489
vs nation: R+48.3

modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate

BidenDemocratic27.2%5,493TrumpRepublican71.1%14,336OtherAll other candidates1.6%331

R+43.9

Lead: 8,843
Total: 20,160
vs nation: R+48.3

modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate

ClintonDemocratic26.8%4,746TrumpRepublican68.1%12,051OtherAll other candidates5.1%896

R+41.3

Lead: 7,305
Total: 17,693
vs nation: R+43.4

modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate

ObamaDemocratic39.3%6,227RomneyRepublican59.4%9,415OtherAll other candidates1.4%221

R+20.1

Lead: 3,188
Total: 15,863
vs nation: R+24.0

modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate

ObamaDemocratic47.1%8,028McCainRepublican51.8%8,833OtherAll other candidates1.1%186

R+4.7

Lead: 805
Total: 17,047
vs nation: R+12.0

modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate

KerryDemocratic45.4%6,789BushRepublican54.3%8,117OtherAll other candidates0.3%49

R+8.9

Lead: 1,328
Total: 14,955
vs nation: R+6.4

modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate

GoreDemocratic46.3%5,697BushRepublican52.0%6,395OtherAll other candidates1.7%210

R+5.7

Lead: 698
Total: 12,302
vs nation: R+6.2

modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate

ClintonDemocratic46.1%4,802DoleRepublican39.8%4,148OtherAll other candidates14.2%1,476

D+6.3

Lead: 654
Total: 10,426
vs nation: R+2.2

modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate

Key facts

2024 presidential margin: R+49.8MIT Election Lab
Population: 37,3262024 5-year
Population density: 118 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
Land area: 317 sq miTIGER/Line
Median household income: $78,8672024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic): 92.0%2024 5-year
Black: 0.5%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino: 1.5%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin: D+37.0 in 1964MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin: R+49.8 in 2024MIT Election Lab
Most similar: State House District 114, MO · twin score 98.0

presidential history

Party record book

Missouri 115th State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.

1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark

Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.

Democratic

Lyndon B. Johnson1964

68.5%

2,894 votes · D+37.0 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · Harry S. Truman, 1948 · 60.5%

Republican

Donald Trump2024

74.3%

14,479 votes · R+49.8 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 71.1%

Most votes

Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.

Democratic

Barack Obama2008

8,028votes

47.1% of the vote · R+4.7 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · John Kerry, 2004 · 6,789 votes

Republican

Donald Trump2024

14,479votes

74.3% of the vote · R+49.8 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 14,336 votes

Best relative to the U.S.

This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.

Democratic

Adlai Stevenson1956

+19.4pts D vs U.S.

Place D+4.0 · U.S. R+15.4 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · Harry S. Truman, 1948 · +16.6 pts

Republican

Donald Trump2020

+48.3pts R vs U.S.

Place R+43.9 · U.S. D+4.5 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2024 · +48.3 pts

current representation

Current officeholders

RBill LucasState House · 115

State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.

U.S. House elections · 1 House

Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.

U.S. House

Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.

Source · Akashic county-allocated estimate from certified county returns, House; not precinct-counted.
Year	Vote lead	Democratic	Republican	Total
2018	R	39.8%5,584	60.2%8,429	14,013

Missouri 115th State House District sits in the Border South. In 2024 it voted Republican.

Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 37.0 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 49.8 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 5.9 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 49.8 points.

A population of 37,326, a 92% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $78,867 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State House District 114 and State House District 113.

Political twins — state-house districts

The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.

State House District 114

elasticity12-yr trend2020–2024 trajectory

State House District 113

elasticity2016–2020 trajectory% unaffiliated≠ 12-yr trend

State House District 112

2016–2024 trajectory% unaffiliated≠ 12-yr trend

Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.

District research tools

Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page

All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.

Missouri 115th State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/29115/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.

License: CC BY 4.0

Missouri at the ballot boxAll elections →

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Places within Missouri 115th State House District

counties it covers1

Jefferson County

Frequently asked questions

How did Missouri 115th State House District vote in 2024?

In 2024, Missouri 115th State House District voted Republican by 49.8 points (R+49.8), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 19,489 votes cast, 4,779 went Democratic and 14,479 went Republican.

When did Missouri 115th State House District last vote Democratic?

The most recent presidential election in which Missouri 115th State House District voted Democratic was 1996.

How many people live in Missouri 115th State House District?

Missouri 115th State House District has a population of 37,326 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.

What is the median household income in Missouri 115th State House District?

Median household income in Missouri 115th State House District is $78,867 — below the national median of $80,734. The Missouri state median is $70,702.

What is the political history of Missouri 115th State House District?

Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Missouri 115th State House District from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 14 went Democratic and 24 went Republican.