- Lead
- 4,621
- Total
- 15,864
- vs nation
- D+30.6
Missouri 70th State House District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 4,690
- Total
- 17,374
- vs nation
- D+22.5
- Lead
- 3,017
- Total
- 17,853
- vs nation
- D+14.8
- Lead
- 2,600
- Total
- 18,164
- vs nation
- D+10.5
- Lead
- 3,938
- Total
- 19,267
- vs nation
- D+13.2
- Lead
- 1,857
- Total
- 18,642
- vs nation
- D+12.4
- Lead
- 995
- Total
- 16,768
- vs nation
- D+5.4
- Lead
- 1,146
- Total
- 15,865
- vs nation
- R+1.3
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+29.1MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 37,3622024 5-year
- Population density
- 1,146 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 32.6 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $57,3362024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 49.1%2024 5-year
- Black
- 37.5%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 5.3%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+29.1 in 2024MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+21.6 in 1904MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State House District 75, MO · twin score 95.3
presidential history
Party record book
Missouri 70th State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Kamala Harris2024
63.7%
10,103 votes · D+29.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · 62.7%
Republican
James G. Blaine1884
58.7%
131 votes · R+17.9 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · James A. Garfield, 1880 · 55.9%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Barack Obama2008
11,495votes
59.7% of the vote · D+20.4 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · 10,888 votes
Republican
Ronald Reagan1984
10,454votes
31.4% of the vote · R+13.5 · a third-party candidate carried the Place · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Richard Nixon, 1972 · 8,979 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Kamala Harris2024
+30.6pts D vs U.S.
Place D+29.1 · U.S. R+1.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · +22.5 pts
Republican
William H. Taft1912
+25.0pts R vs U.S.
Place R+5.4 · U.S. D+19.5 · a third-party candidate carried the Place · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Alf Landon, 1936 · +16.1 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
With a 2024 presidential margin of D+29.1, this district ranks among the most reliably blue constituencies in Missouri, suggesting a dense urban core and a heavily minority or college-educated electorate.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 29.1 points in 2024 and a Republican high of 21.6 points in 1904. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 2.1 points toward the Democratic candidate; the 2024 margin was 29.1 points.
A population of 37,362, a 49% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $57,336 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State House District 75 and State House District 68.
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Missouri 70th State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/29070/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.