- Lead
- 4,562
- Total
- 21,444
- vs nation
- R+19.8
Missouri 33rd State House District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 4,427
- Total
- 20,432
- vs nation
- R+26.1
- Lead
- 4,892
- Total
- 17,156
- vs nation
- R+30.6
- Lead
- 5,051
- Total
- 17,349
- vs nation
- R+33.0
- Lead
- 4,268
- Total
- 18,395
- vs nation
- R+30.5
- Lead
- 5,724
- Total
- 17,807
- vs nation
- R+29.7
- Lead
- 4,084
- Total
- 14,961
- vs nation
- R+27.8
- Lead
- 3,052
- Total
- 13,638
- vs nation
- R+30.9
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+21.3MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 38,1082024 5-year
- Population density
- 335 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 114 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $96,8462024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 81.3%2024 5-year
- Black
- 5.8%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 5.1%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+17.9 in 1912MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+58.2 in 1972MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State House District 32, MO · twin score 90.6
presidential history
Party record book
Missouri 33rd State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1936
49.6%
7,045 votes · R+0.4 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Lyndon B. Johnson, 1964 · 42.9%
Republican
Richard Nixon1972
79.1%
11,658 votes · R+58.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Herbert Hoover, 1928 · 77.9%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Kamala Harris2024
8,409votes
39.2% of the vote · R+21.3 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · 7,794 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
12,971votes
60.5% of the vote · R+21.3 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 12,221 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Woodrow Wilson1912
−1.6pts D vs U.S.
Place D+17.9 · U.S. D+19.5 · a third-party candidate carried the Place · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Kamala Harris, 2024 · −19.8 pts
Republican
Thomas E. Dewey1944
+46.5pts R vs U.S.
Place R+39.1 · U.S. D+7.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Wendell Willkie, 1940 · +43.9 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Missouri 33rd State House District sits in the Border South. In 2024 it voted Republican.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 17.9 points in 1912 and a Republican high of 58.2 points in 1972. The 2024 margin was 21.3 points.
A population of 38,108, a 81% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $96,846 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State House District 32 and State House District 31.
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Missouri 33rd State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/29033/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.