- Lead
- 2,080
- Total
- 27,609
- vs nation
- R+6.1
Minnesota State House District 33A
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 1,862
- Total
- 26,917
- vs nation
- R+11.4
- Lead
- 3,102
- Total
- 23,373
- vs nation
- R+15.4
- Lead
- 3,612
- Total
- 23,136
- vs nation
- R+19.5
- Lead
- 2,666
- Total
- 22,153
- vs nation
- R+19.3
- Lead
- 4,136
- Total
- 21,012
- vs nation
- R+17.2
- Lead
- 3,019
- Total
- 17,565
- vs nation
- R+17.7
- Lead
- 207
- Total
- 13,938
- vs nation
- R+7.0
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+7.5MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 42,7072024 5-year
- Population density
- 601 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 71.1 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $108,2692024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 87.0%2024 5-year
- Black
- 2.0%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 3.3%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+18.6 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+75.3 in 1904MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State House District 41A, MN · twin score 92.5
presidential history
Party record book
Minnesota State House District 33A · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
59.2%
2,470 votes · D+18.6 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1932 · 53.0%
Republican
Theodore Roosevelt1904
86.6%
554 votes · R+75.3 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Warren G. Harding, 1920 · 82.0%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Kamala Harris2024
12,472votes
45.2% of the vote · R+7.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · 12,215 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
14,552votes
52.7% of the vote · R+7.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 14,077 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Hubert Humphrey1968
+4.3pts D vs U.S.
Place D+3.6 · U.S. R+0.7 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Walter Mondale, 1984 · +1.1 pts
Republican
Theodore Roosevelt1904
+55.6pts R vs U.S.
Place R+75.3 · U.S. R+19.7 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · William McKinley, 1896 · +53.3 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | D | 54.8%13,795 | 45.2%11,391 | 25,186 |
| 2020 | D | 52.7%12,399 | 47.3%11,130 | 23,529 |
Covering roughly 42,700 residents in Minnesota's exurban fringe, District 33A recorded an R+7.5 presidential margin in 2024, reflecting a broader shift among working-class and suburban-adjacent communities away from their previous competitive standing.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 18.6 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 75.3 points in 1904. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 0.6 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 7.5 points.
A population of 42,707, a 87% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $108,269 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State House District 41A and State House District 36A.
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Minnesota State House District 33A. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/2733A/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.