- Lead
- 6,294
- Total
- 48,981
- vs nation
- R+11.4
Michigan 58th State House District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 2,717
- Total
- 48,194
- vs nation
- R+10.1
- Lead
- 4,093
- Total
- 41,419
- vs nation
- R+12.0
- Lead
- 2,258
- Total
- 40,030
- vs nation
- D+1.8
- Lead
- 4,238
- Total
- 41,543
- vs nation
- D+2.9
- Lead
- 84
- Total
- 39,679
- vs nation
- D+2.7
- Lead
- 1,393
- Total
- 34,138
- vs nation
- D+3.6
- Lead
- 3,477
- Total
- 30,501
- vs nation
- D+2.9
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+12.8MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 90,4542024 5-year
- Population density
- 3,662 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 24.7 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $75,2712024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 78.2%2024 5-year
- Black
- 8.3%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 2.7%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+50.3 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+50.1 in 1920MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State House District 61, MI · twin score 96.5
presidential history
Party record book
Michigan 58th State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
75.0%
13,151 votes · D+50.3 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · John F. Kennedy, 1960 · 63.5%
Republican
Warren G. Harding1920
72.7%
958 votes · R+50.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Calvin Coolidge, 1924 · 66.9%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
22,406votes
46.5% of the vote · R+5.6 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2008 · 22,406 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
27,103votes
55.3% of the vote · R+12.8 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 25,123 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
+27.7pts D vs U.S.
Place D+50.3 · U.S. D+22.6 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · John F. Kennedy, 1960 · +27.4 pts
Republican
William McKinley1896
+38.9pts R vs U.S.
Place R+45.0 · U.S. R+6.1 · a third-party candidate carried the Place · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Warren G. Harding, 1920 · +23.9 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | R | 42.8%20,860 | 57.2%27,924 | 48,784 |
| 2020 | R | 47.5%22,744 | 52.5%25,140 | 47,884 |
Anchored in the agricultural communities of western Michigan, this district's R+12.8 margin in 2024 reflects a broader rural realignment that has reshaped competitive lines across the region over the past decade.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 50.3 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 50.1 points in 1920. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 7.2 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 12.8 points.
A population of 90,454, a 78% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $75,271 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State House District 61 and State House District 62.
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Michigan 58th State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/26058/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.