- Lead
- 3,190
- Total
- 61,914
- vs nation
- D+6.6
Michigan 48th State House District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 3,347
- Total
- 61,018
- vs nation
- D+1.0
- Lead
- 697
- Total
- 52,186
- vs nation
- R+3.4
- Lead
- 139
- Total
- 49,458
- vs nation
- R+4.1
- Lead
- 3,883
- Total
- 50,653
- vs nation
- D+0.4
- Lead
- 2,900
- Total
- 47,574
- vs nation
- R+3.6
- Lead
- 1,947
- Total
- 39,205
- vs nation
- R+5.5
- Lead
- 358
- Total
- 32,458
- vs nation
- R+7.4
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+5.2MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 92,3732024 5-year
- Population density
- 344 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 269 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $106,0092024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 83.4%2024 5-year
- Black
- 1.8%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 3.0%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+11.9 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+59.3 in 1928MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State House District 103, MI · twin score 87.3
presidential history
Party record book
Michigan 48th State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
55.8%
7,916 votes · D+11.9 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2008 · 53.0%
Republican
Herbert Hoover1928
79.4%
5,104 votes · R+59.3 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Calvin Coolidge, 1924 · 74.0%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Kamala Harris2024
32,032votes
51.7% of the vote · D+5.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · 31,743 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
28,842votes
46.6% of the vote · D+5.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 28,396 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Kamala Harris2024
+6.6pts D vs U.S.
Place D+5.2 · U.S. R+1.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · George McGovern, 1972 · +3.1 pts
Republican
Wendell Willkie1940
+49.2pts R vs U.S.
Place R+39.2 · U.S. D+9.9 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · William McKinley, 1896 · +47.0 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | D | 53.1%29,464 | 46.9%26,076 | 55,540 |
| 2020 | D | 55.2%30,330 | 44.8%24,604 | 54,934 |
Michigan's 48th House district, with roughly 92,000 residents, landed 5 points to the Democratic side in 2024 — a margin typical of competitive suburban territory that neither party can take for granted.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 11.9 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 59.3 points in 1928. The 2024 margin was 5.2 points.
A population of 92,373, a 83% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $106,009 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State House District 103 and State House District 47.
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Michigan 48th State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/26048/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.