- Lead
- 2,345
- Total
- 13,200
- vs nation
- D+19.2
Massachusetts 158th State House District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 4,215
- Total
- 14,675
- vs nation
- D+24.3
- Lead
- 4,663
- Total
- 13,819
- vs nation
- D+31.7
- Lead
- 4,411
- Total
- 12,775
- vs nation
- D+30.7
- Lead
- 4,962
- Total
- 12,994
- vs nation
- D+30.9
- Lead
- 4,698
- Total
- 12,193
- vs nation
- D+41.0
- Lead
- 4,677
- Total
- 11,158
- vs nation
- D+41.4
- Lead
- 5,191
- Total
- 10,635
- vs nation
- D+40.3
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+17.8MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 43,0942024 5-year
- Population density
- 2,912 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 14.8 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $59,4992024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 44.8%2024 5-year
- Black
- 12.0%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 28.5%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+70.7 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+34.5 in 1896MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- 15th Worcester District, MA · twin score 98.4
presidential history
Party record book
Massachusetts 158th State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
85.3%
9,141 votes · D+70.7 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Hubert Humphrey, 1968 · 74.5%
Republican
William McKinley1896
64.1%
900 votes · R+34.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Calvin Coolidge, 1924 · 57.0%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
9,274votes
63.2% of the vote · D+28.7 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Lyndon B. Johnson, 1964 · 9,141 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
5,239votes
39.7% of the vote · D+17.8 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 5,059 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
George McGovern1972
+55.0pts D vs U.S.
Place D+31.9 · U.S. R+23.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Hubert Humphrey, 1968 · +52.4 pts
Republican
William McKinley1896
+28.5pts R vs U.S.
Place R+34.5 · U.S. R+6.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · William H. Taft, 1912 · +11.5 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | D | 100.0%13,158 | 0.0%0 | 13,158 |
Anchored in central Massachusetts, the 17th Worcester District has delivered double-digit Democratic presidential margins, reflecting the urban and suburban mix typical of Worcester County's denser precincts.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 70.7 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 34.5 points in 1896. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 11.0 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 17.8 points.
A population of 43,094, a 45% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $59,499 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of 15th Worcester District and 16th Worcester District.
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Massachusetts 158th State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/25158/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.