- Lead
- 35,902
- Total
- 47,140
- vs nation
- D+77.6
Maryland 45th State House District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 39,224
- Total
- 48,438
- vs nation
- D+76.5
- Lead
- 41,023
- Total
- 51,890
- vs nation
- D+77.0
- Lead
- 44,769
- Total
- 55,864
- vs nation
- D+76.3
- Lead
- 43,046
- Total
- 54,044
- vs nation
- D+72.4
- Lead
- 32,735
- Total
- 46,529
- vs nation
- D+72.8
- Lead
- 30,800
- Total
- 41,752
- vs nation
- D+73.2
- Lead
- 27,585
- Total
- 39,636
- vs nation
- D+61.1
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+76.2MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 124,5822024 5-year
- Population density
- 7,690 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 16.2 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $58,1932024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 15.2%2024 5-year
- Black
- 72.8%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 6.1%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+81.0 in 2020MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+10.4 in 1896MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State Legislative District 41, MD · twin score 99.7
presidential history
Party record book
Maryland 45th State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
89.7%
43,468 votes · D+81.0 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2008 · 89.4%
Republican
William McKinley1896
53.5%
11,424 votes · R+10.4 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Warren G. Harding, 1920 · 52.4%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
54,266votes
79.4% of the vote · D+58.9 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2012 · 49,927 votes
Republican
Dwight D. Eisenhower1956
32,878votes
50.9% of the vote · R+1.8 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Dwight D. Eisenhower, 1952 · 30,955 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Kamala Harris2024
+77.6pts D vs U.S.
Place D+76.2 · U.S. R+1.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Hillary Clinton, 2016 · +77.0 pts
Republican
William McKinley1896
+4.3pts R vs U.S.
Place R+10.4 · U.S. R+6.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · William McKinley, 1900 · −11.4 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
The district recorded a Democratic presidential margin of D+76.2 in 2024, compared with D+79.6 in 2008. No racial group formed a majority of its residents in the 2024 ACS 5-year, with Black residents at 59.2%.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 81.0 points in 2020 and a Republican high of 10.4 points in 1896. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 4.8 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 76.2 points.
A population of 124,582, a 15% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $58,193 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State Legislative District 41 and State Legislative District 40.
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Maryland 45th State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/24045/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.