akashic
1876–2024
State House District 45·Kentucky

Kentucky 45th State House District delivered D+8 in 2024.

One of Kentucky's most lopsided presidential margins in 2024

1876 — 2024·38 elections
KY
Latest
D+8
in 2024
Archetype
Bellwether
since the recent cycles
Population
44,282
2024 ACS

Kentucky 45th State House District, Kentucky: Bellwether district. In 2024, voted D+8%. Republican peak: R+37 in 1972.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
D+8MIT Election Lab
Political archetype
BellwetherAkashic typology
Population
44,2822024 5-year
Median household income
$70,3932024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
71.7%2024 5-year
Black
12.6%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
8.7%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+16 in 1892MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+37 in 1972MIT Election Lab
2024 results by constituent county
2 counties · 1 D · 1 R
R+60
D+60
One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.
38 presidential elections
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
D
+7.7%
10,5699,03520,040
D
+11.1%
11,4179,09420,989
D
+0.5%
8,7278,63818,696
R
−6.1%
7,8428,89517,131
R
−2.3%
8,3218,71717,269
R
−12.1%
7,3079,34216,800
R
−11.4%
5,9817,58314,032
R
−2.1%
5,5425,79212,179
R
−6.4%
4,8485,64612,520
R
−22.0%
4,0846,42210,624
R
−30.9%
3,5976,86710,567
R
−8.2%
3,9074,6689,303
R
−10.3%
3,5514,3968,169
R
−36.7%
2,4115,3117,909
R
−16.4%
2,0923,1416,403
D
+14.5%
3,2042,3905,620
R
−20.2%
2,1443,2315,375
R
−20.9%
1,8222,7994,668
R
−6.8%
1,9782,2704,266
D
+11.2%
1,8171,4363,388
D
+11.7%
1,8761,4793,379
D
+13.3%
2,1871,6723,874
D
+11.9%
2,0291,5963,651
D
+16.0%
2,1881,5793,797
R
−26.4%
1,3512,3233,678
R
−3.1%
1,5301,6313,221
D
+9.5%
1,9171,5803,537
D
+8.8%
9648071,790
D
+13.9%
8105861,616
D
+6.4%
8187181,569
D
+11.4%
7886241,443
R
−5.1%
7107881,519
R
−8.4%
6507731,459
D
+15.9%
5734071,047
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Demographics

Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
English
14.6%
German
11.9%
Irish
10.9%
American
8.8%
Scottish
2.3%
Italian
2.2%
French
1.6%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Age distribution by sex
Median age: 35.9 in this county, 39.1 nationally
Male
Age
Female
0.5%
85+
1.0%
1.9%
75–84
2.5%
4.2%
65–74
4.9%
5.5%
55–64
5.9%
5.8%
45–54
5.8%
6.6%
35–44
6.5%
7.4%
25–34
7.3%
6.4%
18–24
6.5%
8.0%
5–17
7.7%
2.9%
<5
2.8%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Median household income
2024 inflation-adjusted dollars
$70,393
State House District 45 ranks near the middle of US counties.
State House District 45$70,393
Kentucky$63,726
United States$80,734
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Poverty rate
All persons below federal poverty line
14.3%
Children face moderate poverty.
Children under 1817.2%
Working age (18–64)13.8%
Seniors (65+)9.8%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
85.7%
speak English only
Spanish6.8%
Other Indo-European3.3%
Asian & Pacific Islander2.3%
Other languages2.0%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Other Christian
17.2%
Baptist
13.9%
Catholic & Orthodox
6.5%
Methodist
5.3%
Mainline Protestant
3.7%
Pentecostal & Holiness
1.9%
Non-Christian
1.2%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 50.2% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

With a 2024 presidential margin of R+76.4, this eastern Kentucky house district ranks among the most one-sided in the state, reflecting the region's decades-long partisan realignment away from its historic Democratic roots.

The Democratic margin in Kentucky 45th State House District has rarely exceeded sixteen points in modern history; the Republican margin has rarely exceeded thirty-seven points. 2024 delivered the district to the Democratic candidate by eight points.

Its demographics resemble the country more than they resemble most districts. A 72% non-Hispanic-white share, a 14% poverty rate, and a median household income of $70,393 — all within the broad national range.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
State House District 45, Kentucky. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/21045/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did State House District 45, Kentucky vote in 2024?
In 2024, State House District 45, Kentucky voted Democratic by 7.7 points (D+8), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 20,040 votes cast, 10,569 went Democratic and 9,035 went Republican.
What is State House District 45, Kentucky's political archetype?
Akashic classifies State House District 45, Kentucky as a "Bellwether" district based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the district has voted Democratic 15 times, Republican 19 times, and other 0 times.
When did State House District 45, Kentucky last vote Republican?
The most recent presidential election in which State House District 45, Kentucky voted Republican was 2012.
How many people live in State House District 45, Kentucky?
State House District 45, Kentucky has a population of 44,282 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in State House District 45, Kentucky?
Median household income in State House District 45, Kentucky is $70,393 — below the national median of $80,734. The Kentucky state median is $63,726.
What is the political history of State House District 45, Kentucky?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in State House District 45, Kentucky from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 15 went Democratic and 19 went Republican. The district's archetype — "Bellwether" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.