- Lead
- 5,541
- Total
- 13,893
- vs nation
- D+41.4
Kansas 45th State House District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 5,187
- Total
- 13,071
- vs nation
- D+35.2
- Lead
- 3,254
- Total
- 10,827
- vs nation
- D+28.0
- Lead
- 2,238
- Total
- 10,360
- vs nation
- D+17.7
- Lead
- 3,206
- Total
- 11,445
- vs nation
- D+20.7
- Lead
- 1,405
- Total
- 10,742
- vs nation
- D+15.5
- Lead
- 29
- Total
- 8,527
- vs nation
- R+0.2
- Lead
- 193
- Total
- 8,089
- vs nation
- R+6.1
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+39.9MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 23,5582024 5-year
- Population density
- 524 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 45 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $88,9802024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 77.8%2024 5-year
- Black
- 4.0%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 6.0%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+39.9 in 2024MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+59.6 in 1928MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State House District 44, KS · twin score 96.4
presidential history
Party record book
Kansas 45th State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Kamala Harris2024
69.2%
9,608 votes · D+39.9 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · 68.7%
Republican
Herbert Hoover1928
79.3%
1,962 votes · R+59.6 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Calvin Coolidge, 1924 · 76.2%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Kamala Harris2024
9,608votes
69.2% of the vote · D+39.9 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · 8,983 votes
Republican
George W. Bush2004
4,566votes
42.5% of the vote · D+13.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Ronald Reagan, 1984 · 4,209 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Kamala Harris2024
+41.4pts D vs U.S.
Place D+39.9 · U.S. R+1.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · +35.2 pts
Republican
Benjamin Harrison1892
+61.0pts R vs U.S.
Place R+59.3 · U.S. D+1.7 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Wendell Willkie, 1940 · +54.4 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | D | 69.2%7,674 | 30.8%3,412 | 11,086 |
With a 2024 presidential margin of D+40, this district ranks among the most reliably Democratic constituencies in Kansas, likely anchored by a dense urban or university-area population base that consistently skews the vote heavily left of the state median.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 39.9 points in 2024 and a Republican high of 59.6 points in 1928. The 2024 margin was 39.9 points.
A population of 23,558, a 78% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $88,980 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State House District 44 and State House District 52.
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Kansas 45th State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/20045/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.