- Lead
- 3,461
- Total
- 13,809
- vs nation
- R+23.6
Kansas 38th State House District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 3,404
- Total
- 13,218
- vs nation
- R+30.2
- Lead
- 3,213
- Total
- 11,127
- vs nation
- R+31.0
- Lead
- 2,557
- Total
- 10,655
- vs nation
- R+27.9
- Lead
- 1,854
- Total
- 11,214
- vs nation
- R+23.8
- Lead
- 2,351
- Total
- 10,182
- vs nation
- R+20.6
- Lead
- 1,508
- Total
- 8,529
- vs nation
- R+18.2
- Lead
- 1,056
- Total
- 8,247
- vs nation
- R+21.3
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+25.1MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 23,0972024 5-year
- Population density
- 155 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 149 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $113,4412024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 83.5%2024 5-year
- Black
- 3.2%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 6.1%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+4.0 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+55.2 in 1892MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State House District 35, WY · twin score 91.4
presidential history
Party record book
Kansas 38th State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
51.7%
2,820 votes · D+4.0 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1932 · 51.5%
Republican
Calvin Coolidge1924
72.9%
4,079 votes · R+54.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Richard Nixon, 1972 · 71.3%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Kamala Harris2024
5,046votes
36.5% of the vote · R+25.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · 4,761 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
8,507votes
61.6% of the vote · R+25.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 8,165 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
William J. Bryan1896
+1.9pts D vs U.S.
Place R+4.1 · U.S. R+6.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · William J. Bryan, 1900 · −4.5 pts
Republican
Benjamin Harrison1892
+56.9pts R vs U.S.
Place R+55.2 · U.S. D+1.7 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Alf Landon, 1936 · +37.0 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | R | 39.9%3,694 | 60.1%5,562 | 9,256 |
| 2020 | R | 39.9%3,740 | 60.1%5,624 | 9,364 |
With a 2024 presidential margin of R+25.1, this sparsely populated district of roughly 23,000 residents reflects the broader pattern of durable Republican strength across rural Kansas's agricultural heartland.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 4.0 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 55.2 points in 1892. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 0.7 points toward the Democratic candidate; the 2024 margin was 25.1 points.
A population of 23,097, a 84% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $113,441 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State House District 35 and State House District 50.
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Kansas 38th State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/20038/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.