- Lead
- 64
- Total
- 8,036
- vs nation
- D+0.7
Kansas 15th State House District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 69
- Total
- 8,785
- vs nation
- R+5.2
- Lead
- 992
- Total
- 7,655
- vs nation
- R+15.0
- Lead
- 2,036
- Total
- 7,205
- vs nation
- R+32.1
- Lead
- 1,471
- Total
- 7,397
- vs nation
- R+27.2
- Lead
- 2,323
- Total
- 6,807
- vs nation
- R+31.7
- Lead
- 1,949
- Total
- 5,766
- vs nation
- R+34.3
- Lead
- 1,598
- Total
- 5,042
- vs nation
- R+40.2
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+0.8MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 22,8562024 5-year
- Population density
- 1,314 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 17.4 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $65,0912024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 59.0%2024 5-year
- Black
- 6.5%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 26.4%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+8.2 in 1912MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+66.2 in 1928MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State House District 30, KS · twin score 84.9
presidential history
Party record book
Kansas 15th State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Kamala Harris2024
48.3%
3,884 votes · R+0.8 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · 48.0%
Republican
Herbert Hoover1928
83.1%
221 votes · R+66.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Richard Nixon, 1972 · 78.4%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
4,218votes
48.0% of the vote · R+0.8 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Kamala Harris, 2024 · 3,884 votes
Republican
Mitt Romney2012
4,557votes
63.2% of the vote · R+28.3 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · George W. Bush, 2004 · 4,540 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Kamala Harris2024
+0.7pts D vs U.S.
Place R+0.8 · U.S. R+1.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · −5.2 pts
Republican
Thomas E. Dewey1944
+62.4pts R vs U.S.
Place R+54.9 · U.S. D+7.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Alf Landon, 1936 · +62.3 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Kansas 15th State House District sits in the Great Plains. In 2024 it voted Republican.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 8.2 points in 1912 and a Republican high of 66.2 points in 1928. The 2024 margin was 0.8 points.
A population of 22,856, a 59% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $65,091 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State House District 30 and State House District 23.
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Kansas 15th State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/20015/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.