- Lead
- 3,893
- Total
- 46,082
- vs nation
- D+9.9
Illinois 49th State House District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 8,376
- Total
- 49,289
- vs nation
- D+12.5
- Lead
- 6,405
- Total
- 42,748
- vs nation
- D+12.9
- Lead
- 1,276
- Total
- 40,039
- vs nation
- R+0.7
- Lead
- 5,051
- Total
- 41,791
- vs nation
- D+4.8
- Lead
- 3,094
- Total
- 40,236
- vs nation
- R+5.2
- Lead
- 3,813
- Total
- 36,055
- vs nation
- R+11.1
- Lead
- 2,514
- Total
- 32,210
- vs nation
- R+16.3
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+8.4MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 108,7532024 5-year
- Population density
- 1,635 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 66.5 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $109,7442024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 51.4%2024 5-year
- Black
- 4.4%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 27.0%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+17.0 in 2020MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+73.3 in 1920MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State House District 46, IL · twin score 96.3
presidential history
Party record book
Illinois 49th State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
57.3%
28,237 votes · D+17.0 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2008 · 55.4%
Republican
Warren G. Harding1920
84.5%
6,117 votes · R+73.3 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Dwight D. Eisenhower, 1956 · 77.4%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
28,237votes
57.3% of the vote · D+17.0 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Kamala Harris, 2024 · 24,382 votes
Republican
Ronald Reagan1984
25,043votes
73.2% of the vote · R+47.0 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · George H. W. Bush, 1988 · 22,947 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Hillary Clinton2016
+12.9pts D vs U.S.
Place D+15.0 · U.S. D+2.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · +12.5 pts
Republican
Warren G. Harding1920
+47.2pts R vs U.S.
Place R+73.3 · U.S. R+26.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · William McKinley, 1896 · +46.3 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | D | 59.0%29,320 | 41.0%20,334 | 49,654 |
| 2020 | D | 63.9%26,197 | 36.1%14,792 | 40,989 |
Illinois 49th State House District sits in the Upper Midwest. In 2024 it voted Democratic.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 17.0 points in 2020 and a Republican high of 73.3 points in 1920. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 8.5 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 8.4 points.
A population of 108,753, a 51% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $109,744 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State House District 46 and State House District 84.
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Illinois 49th State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/17049/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.