akashic
1876–2024
State House District 45·Illinois

Illinois 45th State House District changed direction in the last decade — D+14 in 2024.

One of Illinois's most reliably Republican state house seats

1876 — 2024·38 elections
IL
Latest
D+14
in 2024
Archetype
Recent convert
since the recent cycles
Population
83,254
2024 ACS

Illinois 45th State House District, Illinois: Recent convert district. In 2024, voted D+14%. Republican peak: R+62 in 1920.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
D+14MIT Election Lab
Political archetype
Recent convertAkashic typology
Population
83,2542024 5-year
Median household income
$111,0102024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
64.0%2024 5-year
Black
5.7%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
16.5%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+19 in 2020MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+62 in 1920MIT Election Lab
2024 results by constituent county
2 counties · 2 D · 0 R
R+60
D+60
One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.
38 presidential elections
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
D
+14.0%
22,51316,82640,615
D
+19.0%
25,27217,01443,424
D
+15.8%
20,67214,60838,419
D
+2.8%
18,08517,09935,770
D
+12.3%
20,68916,11137,299
R
−7.9%
16,38819,21635,908
R
−11.4%
13,91917,63932,517
R
−8.9%
11,87414,45928,998
R
−15.3%
10,62815,72233,259
R
−37.1%
8,80919,30228,282
R
−49.2%
6,83020,20527,185
R
−37.1%
6,62816,22325,842
R
−37.6%
6,93315,67823,269
R
−47.3%
5,56115,59521,195
R
−36.7%
4,89711,34217,573
R
−15.4%
6,6419,06115,703
R
−33.5%
4,6539,34614,017
R
−54.1%
2,5868,69811,305
R
−44.1%
2,6526,8519,526
R
−36.9%
2,0804,5646,730
R
−27.1%
2,3904,1726,580
R
−26.9%
2,3424,0826,462
R
−4.2%
2,6322,8725,673
R
−9.7%
2,1582,6394,960
R
−36.7%
1,3392,9084,274
R
−58.8%
3011,8772,680
R
−62.4%
3001,4451,835
R
−24.4%
6461,0931,835
O
+13.5%
272144948
R
−31.1%
263531863
R
−40.6%
184491756
R
−23.1%
281458766
R
−34.9%
230490746
R
−1.2%
274281583
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Demographics

Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
German
15.8%
Irish
12.8%
Italian
9.7%
Polish
9.6%
English
6.1%
American
2.6%
French
1.5%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Age distribution by sex
Median age: 40.1 in this county, 39.1 nationally
Male
Age
Female
0.7%
85+
1.3%
2.2%
75–84
2.8%
4.9%
65–74
5.4%
6.6%
55–64
6.9%
6.4%
45–54
6.4%
7.0%
35–44
6.7%
6.4%
25–34
6.2%
4.2%
18–24
4.1%
8.5%
5–17
8.1%
2.8%
<5
2.7%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Median household income
2024 inflation-adjusted dollars
$111,010
State House District 45 ranks near the middle of US counties.
State House District 45$111,010
Illinois$83,390
United States$80,734
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Poverty rate
All persons below federal poverty line
6.9%
Child poverty is below the national average.
Children under 187.4%
Working age (18–64)6.4%
Seniors (65+)9.3%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
70.2%
speak English only
Spanish11.9%
Other Indo-European11.4%
Asian & Pacific Islander5.3%
Other languages1.3%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Catholic & Orthodox
37.1%
Non-Christian
9.3%
Other Christian
7.6%
Mainline Protestant
6.5%
Methodist
1.8%
Baptist
0.6%
Pentecostal & Holiness
0.5%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 36.8% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

With a 2024 presidential margin of R+52.3, this district sits far outside Illinois's competitive tier, reflecting the rural and small-town demographics typical of deep-red downstate precincts.

The 2008 election was the turning point, when the Democratic candidate carried the district by twelve points. The 2024 margin was fourteen points, in line with the district's new direction.

The demographics suggest why. A population of 83,254, a 64% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $111,010 situate the district in the broader realignment patterns of recent cycles.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
State House District 45, Illinois. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/17045/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did State House District 45, Illinois vote in 2024?
In 2024, State House District 45, Illinois voted Democratic by 14.0 points (D+14), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 40,615 votes cast, 22,513 went Democratic and 16,826 went Republican.
What is State House District 45, Illinois's political archetype?
Akashic classifies State House District 45, Illinois as a "Recent convert" district based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the district has voted Democratic 5 times, Republican 28 times, and other 1 times.
When did State House District 45, Illinois last vote Republican?
The most recent presidential election in which State House District 45, Illinois voted Republican was 2004.
How many people live in State House District 45, Illinois?
State House District 45, Illinois has a population of 83,254 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in State House District 45, Illinois?
Median household income in State House District 45, Illinois is $111,010 — above the national median of $80,734. The Illinois state median is $83,390.
What is the political history of State House District 45, Illinois?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in State House District 45, Illinois from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 5 went Democratic and 28 went Republican. The district's archetype — "Recent convert" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.